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T O P I C    R E V I E W
SOCOM Posted - 05/13/2012 : 14:01:08
The tragic vision of politics
Richard Ned Leebow
Cambridge, 2003



´d¼@¬O¤°»ò¡H´d¼@´N¬OÅý¤H¤£¶}¤ßªº¬G¨Æ¡C¤Hª«¾D¹J¥i©È¬Æ¦Ü¬OºGµhµ²§½¡A³q±`¥O¤@¯ëÆ[²³·P¨ì¥i±¤©MÃø¹L¡C

«Ü¦h®É¡A´d¼@¬O¬°¤F¨ë¿E¤H­Ìªº®£ÄߦӳЧ@ªº¡A±q¦Ó±Ð¤ÆÆ[²³©M¾É¥¿¥L­Ìªº¦æ¬°¡C

¥j§Æþ¬O¦è¤è¤å©úªºµo·½¦a¡A·í®Éªº¤H¤å©M¬ì¾Ç¤å¤Æ¶ì³y¤F¤µ¤Ñªº¼Ú¬w¡C¥j§Æþªº´d¼@§@«~¡A¤º¸Ìªº«ä·Q¤]´¶¹M¦a¼vÅT·í®É©M«á¥@¡C

¦b³o¥»The tragic vision of politics·í¤¤¡A§@ªÌRichard Ned Leebow¤ÀªR¤F§Æþ´d¼@ªºÆ[©À¡A¦p¦óÅé²{¦b°ê»ÚÃö«Yªº¬ã¨s¸Ì­±¡C

Leebow¬D¿ï¤F¤T¦ì¥D­nªº¥j¨å²{¹ê¥D¸qªÌ(classical realist)¡G­×©õ©³¼w(Thucydides)¡B§J³Ò¶ëºû¯ý(Carl von Clausewitz)¤Î¼¯®Ú¯Á(Hans Joachim Morgenthau)¡C³o¤T¤H³£¦³¤@­Ó¯S¦â¡A´N¬O¸g¾ú¹L­«¤jªº¾Ôª§¡C²Ä¤G¡A¥L­Ìªº®É¥N­I´º¡BªÀ·|¤å¤Æ©M±Ð¨|­I´º¡A§¡²`¨ü§Æþ´d¼@«ä·Q¼vÅT¡C²Ä¤T¡A¥L­Ì¬Ò¥H³oºØ«ä·Q¡A¤ÀªR¤F「¾Ôª§」³oºØ´d¼@ªº¦¨¦]¡C

¦b³o¥»®Ñªº¨ä¤¤¤@³¹¸Ì¡A§@ªÌÂk¯Ç¤F¥j¨å²{¹ê¥D¸qªº¦UºØ¬ã¨s¥DÃD¡C

¥DÃD¡GOrder and stability

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°ê»Ú´N§¹¥þ¤£¦P¡A°ê®a¤§¶¡¨S¦³§ó°ªÅv«Â¡C¦U°ê­n¿Ñ¨D¥Í¦s©Mµo®i¡A¥u¯à¾a¦Û¨­¯à¤O¡C¤í¯Ê³Ì°ªÅv«Âªº³W½d¡A¤@¤Á±o¾a¦Û¨­ªº¯à¤Oºû«ù¡C°ê»Ú¤§¶¡¨S¦³「¯u¥¿」ªº«H¥ô¡A¦Ó«Â­¢§Q»¤¡B±ø¥ó¥æ´«¡B§Q¯q¥æ´«¡B¥H¦P·ùÀ~ªý¤J«I¡B¥HÀu¶Õ­x¤O«I¦û¥L°ê¡Bµ¦¤Ï¡K¡K³o¨Çª«½è¤Æªº¦æ¬°¡A¬O°ê»ÚªÀ·|ªº¦@³q»y¨¥¡C

´«¥y¸Ü»¡¡A²{¦bªº·s²{¹ê¥D¸qªÌ»{¬°¡AµL½×¦b¥ô¦ó®É­Ô¡A「½ÖÃbÂ_ªZ¤O¡H」¬O¤@¤Á°ÝÃDªº®Ö¤ß¡C

¦ý¬O¡A¥j¨å²{¹ê¥D¸qªÌ¤£»{¬°¬O³o¼Ë¡C¥L­Ì¤£»{¬°°ê¤º©M°ê»Ú¦³µÛ³oºØ©Ê½è¤Wªº®t§O¡A¤]¤£»{¬°½Ö¾Ö¦³ªZ¤O¥Ã»·¬O³Ì®Ö¤ßªº°ÝÃD¡C

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¾®»E¤Oªº±j®z¡AÃö«Y¨ì°ê®aªº¾ã¦X©M¤Àµõ¡AªÀ¸sªº¾®»E©M¼¹µõ¡A»{¦P·P»P¤³«ë¡C¥H¤µ¤Ñ©Îªñ¥Nªº¨Ò¤l¨Ó»¡¡A¨ã¦³±j¯P»{¦P·Pªº¥Á±Ú¡A¸ó¶V°ê¬É¡A¦Û¦æ§Î¦¨ªÀ¸s¡C§Y¨Ï©~¦í¦b¤£¦P°ê®a¡A¤H­Ì¹ï¥Á±Úªº¨­¥÷»{¦P·P¥i¯à»·°ª©ó°ê®a¡A¬Æ¦Ü¾x¥X¿W¥ß­²©R©Î¥[¤J¥t¤@­Ó°ê®a¡C§Y¨Ï°ê®aªº¬F©²¥HªZ¤O¸T¨î¡A¤]¥¼¥²¯àªý¤î³oºØ«ä·Q¡C

­×©õ´µ©³¼w¡A´N¤£³æ¤îª`·N¨ì°ê¤º¬Fªv¦p¦ó¼vÅT¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦¡AÁÙ¦³°ê¤º»P°ê»ÚªºªÀ·|µ²ºcªºÂàÅÜ¡C¥L«ü¥X¡A¶®¨å¤º³¡ªºº´°ÊªÌ¡A¨Ï°ê®aªº¹ï¥~¾Ôª§©µªø¡A§ó¥O¥»¨ÓºÙ±o¤W¬OªÀ¸sªº¶®¨åªÀ·|¤º³¡¤Àµõ¦¨¤£¦P¬£¨t¡C¦P¼Ë¦a¡A¶®¨å¤º³¡ªº¥Á¥D¾Ë¬F¨î«×¡B¸gÀÙ¤O¶q©M­x¨Æ¤O¶q¡A¤]«P¦¨¤F°ê»ÚÃö«YªºÂàÅÜ¡C

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®³¯}±[¥»¨Ó´N¤£¬O¶Q±Ú¥X¨­¡A¥L¹ï¥ô¦óªÀ¸sªº»{¦P·P¤]»·§C©ó­Ó¤H³¥¤ß¡C©ÎªÌ¡A­²©R¥»¨­´N¬O¥H¾ã­Ó¼Ú¬w¬Ó«Ç¬°¼Äªº¡A°²¦p¥L»{¦P¦Û¤v¬O­²©R¤¤ªº¤@­û¡AµL­­¨îªº«I²¤¥i¥H¨Ï¥L¦b­²©RªÀ¸s¤¤±o¨ìµL¤Wªº¥úºa¡C

¹ï©ó°ê»Ú¬Fªv©M°ê¤º¬Fªv¡A¼¯®Ú¯Á»{¬°©Ê½è¤W¬O¤@¼Ëªº¡CµL½×¬O°ê»Ú¬FªvÁÙ¬O°ê¤º¬Fªv¡A³£¥s°µ「¬Fªv」¡C¬Fªv´N¬OÅv¤Oªºª§¹Ü(the struggle for power)¡A¬Fªv¬O¤H­ÌªÀ·|¥Í¬¡(social life)ªº¤@³¡¥÷¡C

¦b«Ü¦h°ê®a¸Ì¡Aªk«ß¡BºD¨Ò(norms)¡B¨î«×¡B²ß«U¡B¤£¦¨¤å³W©w¡B¹D¼w´Á±æµ¥µ¥¤O¶q¡A§âÅv¤Oªºª§¹Ü­­¨î¦bªÀ·|¤j²³¥i¥H±µ¨üªº½d³ò¤º¡C

¬Û¹ï¦a¡A°ê»Ú¶¡ªºÅv¤Oª§¹Ü¡A¨ä§Î¦¡¸û¤£¨ü¤W­z¤O¶qªº­­¨î¡CÁ|¨Ò¡A18¥@¬öªº¼Ú¬w¡A¥»¨Ó¬O「one great republic」¡A¼Ú¬w¦U¦aªºÂ§»ª»P²ß«U¼Ð·Ç¬Û¦P¡A¤S¦³µÛ¦@¦Pªºªk«ß¡BÃÀ³N©Mmanner¡C·í®Éªº¼Ú¬w¡A´N¦p¦P§Bù©b¥§¼»¾Ôª§¤§«eªº§Æþ¤@¼Ë¡A®£Äß©M²Û®¢¤ß¡BºaÅA»P¤½¥¿ªº¬Û¦P¼Ð·Ç¡A­­¨î¤F¤H­Ì¡A¤×¨ä¬Fªv¤Hª«¡Aªº³¥¤ß¡C

ªk°ê¤j­²©R¯}Ãa¤F³o­Ó¦@¦P¼Ð·Ç¡C「¤Ï°Ê」ªº«O¦u¬£¹Á¸Õ¦b®³¯}±[¾Ôª§«á«ì´_¦³¯´§Ç¡A¦ý¬O®ÄªG¦³­­¡C

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¼¯®Ú¯Á»{¬°¡A¦P¼ËªºÆ[ÂI¤]¾A¥Î©ó°ê¤º¬Fªv¡C¦b­^°ê©M¬ü°ê³oÃþstrong society¡AºD¨Ò©M¨î«×­­¨î¤FÅv¤Oªºª§¹Ü¡C¦ý¬O¦b¯Çºé¼w°ê©M¥v¤ÓªL®É´ÁªºÄ¬Áp¡A¥Ñ©ó¥¦­Ì¬O»{¦P·PÁ¡®zªºweak society¡A¬G¦¹ªÀ·|ª§°«©M¼É¤O»·¸û­^¬ü¿E¯P¡C





~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

You may not be interested in the dialectic, but the dialectic is interested in you.

~~~~~~Leon Trotsky


You may not be interested in troubles, but troubles are interested in you.

~~~~~~SOCOM
25   L A T E S T    R E P L I E S    (Newest First)
¨h¦Ð Posted - 08/11/2013 : 07:39:10
quote:
Originally posted by SOCOM
°ê¥Á©Ê®æ(national character)

°ê¥Á©Ê®æ³o­ÓªF¦è«ÜÃø½T¤Áµû»ù¡A¤j³¡¤À¹ï°ê¥Á©Ê®æªº´y­z¨ä¹ê¥u¬O¨èªO¦L¶H

´N¹³¤W­±¨º¦ì»¡ªº¡A1890¦~ªº¤¤°ê©M1950¦~ªº¤¤°êÃø¹D¬O¨â­ÓºØ±Ú¡H

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Justum est bellum, quibus necessarium; et pia arma, quibus nulla nisi in armis relinquitur opes.
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SOCOM Posted - 08/10/2013 : 20:28:49
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(SOCOM¡G§Ú­Ì¤£§KÁp·Q¨ì¤µ¤Ñªº¤H¤f¤j­x¡C®µ±aµÛ·¥¬°¤j¶qªº¸êª÷¡A¤¤°êªº¤H¤f¨ì¥þ¥@¬É±ÄÁÊ¡B§ë¸ê¡B®È¹C¡B®ø¶O¡B²¾¥Á¡B¯d¾Ç¡B¯}Ãa·í¦a¶Ç²Î¤å¤Æ¡A¼vÅT¥@¬É¡C³o¤w¸g¬O¤@ºØ«ÈÆ[¦s¦bªº²{¶H¡A¦ý¬O¡A¨ì©³¬O¦ÛµMµo¥Í¡AÁÙ¬O¤¤¦@¦³·N³y¦¨ªº¤@ºØ¿é¥X¼vÅT¤Oªºµ¦²¤¡A¦ü¥G¦³«Ý±´¨s¡C)

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°²¦p¿ù¦ô¤@­Ó°ê®aªº°ê¥Á©Ê®æ¡A¥i¯à¾É­P»~§P¹ï¤âªº¬Fµ¦¿ï¾Ü¡C¨ó¬ù°ê¦b¤Zº¸Áɱø¬ù¤¤¡A­é¹Ü¼w°êªºª«½è¯à¤O¡B»â¤g¡B¤u·~µo®iµ¥¡A¤SÄY®æ­­¨î¨ä­x¤Oµo®i¡C¦ý¬O¼w°ê¤Hªºª¾ÃÑ©M©Ê®æ¡A¨Ï¥L­Ì¦b±µ¤U¨Óªº20¦~¸Ì«Ø¥ß°_¬Û·í±j¤jªº­x¶¤¡C¬Û¤Ï¦a¡A²Ä¤@¦¸¥@¬É¤j¾Ôªº®É­Ô¡A·í¬ü°ê¥[¤J¾Ôª§¡A¼w°ê¤H«o¦]¬°¿ù»~»{ÃѬü°ê²±¦æªº¤Ï­x°ê¥D¸q¡A»~¥H¬°¬ü°ê¬F©²±NµLªk°Ê­û¥Á²³«Ø¥ß¤j«¬­x¤O©M»·©º¼Ú³°¡C

¦P¼Ë¦a¡A«Ü¦h±M®a¦b¤G¾Ôªì´Á¡A¥u¥Hª«½è¤Wªº¨¤«×Æ[¹î¼w°ê¡C¨Æ¹ê¤W¡A¦Û±q¤T¤Q¦~¾Ôª§¥H¨Ó¡A¤é¦Õ°Ò¤Hªº©Ê®æ´N¯Ê¥F¤@ºØ½w©M(moderation)ªº·NÃÑ¡C¦p¦¹°l¨DµL­­¨îªº¥Ø¼Ð¡A¶W¥X¯à¤O½d³ò¦a¦æ°Ê¡Aµ²ªG¾É­P¥¢±Ñ¡A³o¬O¼w°ê°ê¥Á©Ê®æªº­P©R®zÂI¡C


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 05/01/2013 : 11:30:26

²Ä9³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À (4)

­x¨Æ·Ç³Æ

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´x´¤¤F¥ý¶iªº¾Ôª§§Þ³N¡A¥i¥HÅý¥»¨Ó®z¤pªº¤@¤è¤Ï±Ñ¬°³Ó¡A¬Æ¦Ó§ïÅÜÅv¤O¤À§G¡C1315¦~ªºMorgarten·|¾Ô·í¤¤¡A·ç¤h¤H¥H¤@¶¤¥Ñ´¶³q¤H²Õ¦¨¡B°t³ÆµÛ¤õ¾¹(firearm)ªº¨B§L³¡¶¤¡A¹ý©³¾Ô³Ó¶ø¦a§Qªº©ù¶QÃM§L³¡¶¤¡C1494¦~¡Aªk°ê¬d²z¤K¥@±a§L¤J«I·N¤j§Q¡A¥H¤õ¬¶À»·´·N¤j§Q«°¨¹ªº«°Àð¡C

20¥@¬ö¡A¼ç¸¥¡B©Z§J¡BªÅ¦a»P®üªÅÁp¦X§@¾Ô¡B®ÖªZ¾¹¡A¬O·í®É³Ì­«­nªº­x¨Æ§Þ³Nµo©ú¡C

»Ý­n¯S§Oª`·Nªº¬O¡A¥H®ÖªZ¾¹¨Ó¥[±j­x¨ÆÀu¶Õªº®ÄªG¬O¦³­­¨îªº¡C®ÖªZ¾¹ªº¼Æ¶q¡A¥u»Ý°÷¥Î§Y¥i¡A¦A¦h¨S¦³·N¸q¡C¨Ò¦p¡A¤@¤è¯à§â¥þ¥@¬É¬µÂ½¤Q¦¸¡A¥t¤@¤è¡u¥u¡v¯à°÷¬µ¤­¦¸¡A³o­Ó®t¶Z®Ú¥»¤£¦s¦bÀu¶Õ»P¦H¶Õªº¤À§O¡C¥t¤@­Ó¥Ù¬Þªº¦a¤è¬O¡A¨ã¦³¥¨¤j·´·À©Êªº®Ö¤lªZ¾¹¡A¨Ã¤£¯à¥Î¨Ó¹F¨ì²z©Êªº¾Ôª§¥Ø¼Ð¡C¥¦¥u¯à¥Î¨Ó§â¼Ä°ê¤@³B¤@³B¦aºR·´¡A©ÎªÌ¡A¦b¦U¤è¨Ï¥Î®ÖªZ¤§«eÀ~ªý¼Ä¤H¤£­n­º¥ý¨Ï¥Î¡C¬G¦¹¡A¤@­Ó°ê®a§Y¨Ï¾Ö¦³¤j¶q®ÖªZ¡A¦ý¬O¨S¦³¨¬°÷ªº±`³W³¡¶¤ªº¸Ü¡A¨Ã¤£¯à°÷¤@¨B¨B¦a¦V¼Ä°ê©ì¥[¤ß²zÀ£¤O¡A©Î¸û¬°ºë½T¦a±±¨î¼Ä°ê¡C´«¥y¸Ü»¡¡A³o¼Ë¯à°÷µo´§ªºÅv¤O¨ä¹ê¤Q¤À¦³­­¡C

(SOCOM¡G§@ªÌ¦ü¥Gº|±¼¤F¾Ô³N®ÖªZ¡C¾Ô³N®ÖªZ¯}Ãa½d³ò¸û¤p¡A¬O¦b±`³W¾Ô³õ¤W¨Ï¥Îªº¡Aºâ¬O«Â¤O¸û¤jªº±`³WªZ¾¹¡A¤£¨ãÀ~ªý¼Ä¤è¨Ï¥Î¾Ô²¤®ÖªZªº¥\¯à¡A·Ó²z»¡¤]¤£¥²µM¤Þ°_¹ï¤è¥H¾Ô²¤®ÖªZ³ø´_¡C

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­x¨Æ·Ç³Æ¡G»â¾É

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­x¨Æ¤Ñ¤~®³¯}±[±o¨ì»â¾É¦a¦ì¤§«á¡AÀH§Y±N§ó¦h·sªº¥D·N¹B¥Î¦b¾Ô²¤»P¾Ô³N¤W­±¡A³o¹ïªk°ê¨Ó»¡¬O¨M©w©Êªº¡C

°¨¨ä¿Õ¨¾½u«h¬O¾Ô²¤«ä·Q¥¢±Ñªº¨Ò¤l¡C·í¾÷±ñ¤Æ¹B¿é©MµL½u¹q³q°Tµ¥§Þ³Nµo®i¦¨¼ô¡A¨Ï¾ã­ÓÁͶÕÁͦV¹B°Ê¾Ôªº®É­Ô¡Aªk°ê°Ñ¿Ñ³¡¤´µM©T°õ©ó²Ä¤@¦¸¥@¬É¤j¾Ô®É­ÔªºÀ¢·¾¾Ô¸gÅç¡C¬Û¹ï¦a¡A¼w°ê°Ñ¿Ñ³¡¯à°÷¦]À³§Þ³NÂàÅܦӦb¾Ôªk¤W³Ð·s¡A¨Ï¼w°ê¾ÌµÛ¹B°Ê¾Ô¡A¦b¤G¦¸¤j¾Ôªì´Á±o¨ìªÅ«e³Ó§Q¡C

­x¨Æ·Ç³Æ¡G­x¶¤ªº¼Æ¶q»P½è¯À

­x¶¤¥i¯à¦³¨}¦nªº»â¾É¡A¤S§â´¤¨ì¹B¥Î·sªº§Þ³Nµo©ú¡A¦ý¬O¡A¦pªG¦b°õ¦æ¤£¦PÃþ§O¥ô°Èªº®É­Ô¡A¾A©ó°õ¦æ¸Ó¶µ¤u§@ªº­x¶¤ªº³W¼Ò¤Ó¤j©Î¤Ó¤p¡A³£·|¥O°ê®a¦b¬Fªv¤W¥X²{®z¶Õ¡C

¸Õ·Q¡A¤@­Ó°ê®aªº­x¶¤¡AÀ³¸Óºû«ù¤j¼Æ¶q¡AÁÙ¬O½èºë¶q¤Ö¡HÀ³¸Óºû«ù¥þÃBªº³¡¶¤ÀH®ÉÀ³¾Ô¡AÁÙ¬Oºû«ù°ª«×°V½m¹Lªº«á³Æ­x¡H¤ô­±Ä¥¹L®É¤F¶Ü¡H¯èªÅ¥ÀÄ¥¹L®É¤F¶Ü¡H¦b°ê®a¸ê·½ªº­­¨î©M°ê»Ú§Q¯qªº»Ý­n¤U¡AÀ³¸Óºû«ù¦h¤jªº­x¶¤¡H¥­®É´NÀ³¸Ó¥Í²£¤j¶qªºªZ¾¹¡AÁÙ¬OÀ³§ë©ñ¸û¦h¸ê·½¦b§Þ³N¬ãµo¤W¡A¨Ã¥B«ö·Ó§Þ³N³Ð·s¦Ó¤Ö¶q¦a¥Í²£·í®Éªº³Ì¥ý¶iªZ¾¹¡H

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SOCOM¡G¬Ý¨ì³o¸Ì¡A¤£µLºÃ°Ý¡G­x¤O¬O°ß¤@ªºÅv¤O¶Ü¡H

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µM«á¡A­n©è¾×³o¨Ç¤J«I¡A¦ü¥G¤]»Ý­n­x¨Æ¥H¥~ªº¤èªk¡A¦p¬Fµ¦¡BºÞªv¡Bªk«ß³o¨Ç¬Fªv¤â¬q¡A©ÎªÌ¬ÛÀ³ªº¸gÀÙ©M¤å¤Æ¤â¬q¡C

¦A°h¤@¨B»¡¡AÅv¤Oªº²z½×°ò¦¨ä¹ê¦b¥ý«eªº²Ä3³¹¡CÅv¤O¬O¤@ºØ¤ß²zÃö«Y¡A¥Î¨Ó±±¨î§O¤Hªº·Qªk(mind)©M¦æ°Ê¡C°²¨Ï¤@­Ó¤H¡A¯à°÷±±¨î¥t¤@¨Ç¤Hªº·Qªk©M¦æ°Ê¡A´N§Y¬O«eªÌ¹ï«áªÌ¨ã¦³Åv¤O¡CÅv¤Oªº¨Ó·½¬O¡A¹ï§Q¯qªº´Á±æ¡A¹ï¤£§Qªº®£Äß¡A©M¤H­Ì¹ï»â³S©ÎªÌ¨î«×ªº´L­«©M·RÀ¹¡C

¦pªG³o¼Ë¬Ý¡A§Ú»{¬°¡A³o¸Ì´£¨ìªºÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À¡A¤£¹L¬O»s§@¤jÀ\ªº§÷®Æªº¨Ò¤l¡C²Ä3©M²Ä5³¹¤~¬O»s§@ªº­ì²z¡A­n«ç»ò¹B¥Î³o­Ó­ì²z¡A´N­n¬Ý·í¨Æ¤H«ç»ò°µ¤F¡C)


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/30/2013 : 20:54:09

²Ä9³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À (3)

¤u·~¯à¤O

¦b¤j¦h¼Æ±¡ªp¤U¡A³æ¬O¾Ö¦³¤ÑµM¸ê·½¦Ó¨S¦³¤u·~¯à¤O¡A¨Ã¤£¯à«Ø¥ß¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡C­èªG¾Ö¦³¤j¶qÀu½èªº¹\Äq¡A¦ý¬O¦b°ê®a¤§¶¡¨Ã¨S¦³¤°»òÅv¤O¡C¬Û¤Ï¦a¡A­^°ê¡B¥[®³¤j¡B±¶§J¡B¬ü°ê¡BĬÁp¡A¾Ö¦³¹\Äqªº¦P®É¤S¦³¨}¦nªº¤u·~¯à¤O¡A¨Ï¥¦­Ì¯à°÷¦b¥­®É©M¾Ô®É¨Ï¥Î®Ö¯à¡C

¬ü°ê¡BĬÁp©M¦L«×¬Ò¾Ö¦³Â×´Iªº·ÑÄq©MÅKÄq¡A¦ý¬Oª½¨ì1980¦~¡A¦L«×¤´µM¥u¦³¤£¨ì1%ªº¤H¤f±q¨Æ¤u·~¡C¦L«×¯Ê¥F¤u·~¯à¤O¡A¬G¦ÓµLªk¦¨¬°¤@­Ó¤j°ê¡C

²{¥N¾Ôª§ªº§Þ³N­n¨D¡A¨Ï±o¤u·~¯à¤O¦¨¬°°ê®aÅv¤Oªº¥²­n³¡¥÷¡C¬°µo®i¤u·~¯à¤O¡A¤£¤Ö°ê®a³£«Ø³y§ó¦h§óºë¨}ªº¤u·~³]³Æ¡A§ë¤J¼ô½mªº¤u¤H©M¤uµ{®v¡B¨ã¦³µo©ú¤Ñ¥÷ªº¬ì¾Ç®a¡B¸gÀçºÞ²z¹Î¶¤µ¥µ¥¡C

¦b¤u·~¤W»â¥ýªº°ê®a¡AµL¥iÁקK¦a³Q¬Ý¦¨¬O¤j°ê¡C¤u·~¯à¤Oªº°ª¤U¡A±N¼vÅTµÛ°ê»Ú¶¡Åv¤O¼h¯Å(hierarchy)ªº°ª§C¦¸§Ç¡C­^°ê´¿¸g¬O¥@¤W¤u·~¯à¤O³Ì±j¤jªº°ê®a¡A¦P®É¤]¦ì©ó°ê»Ú¶¡ªºÅv¤O³»®p¡Cªk°êªº°ê®aÅv¤O¦b´¶ªk¾Ôª§©M²Ä¤@¦¸¥@¬É¤j¾Ô«á¨«¦V°I¸¨¡A³£¥i¥H¦bªk°êªº¤u·~¯à¤O³Q¼w°ê»°¤Wªº²{¶H¤¤±o¨ì¤Ï¬M¡C

¥Ñ1930¦~¥N¤u·~¤Æ¶}©l¡AĬÁp¤~¦¨¬°¤@­Ó¤j°ê¡CµM«á¡Aª½¨ì¦b1950¦~¥N¨ã¦³®Ö¾Ô©Ò»Ýªº¤u·~¯à¤O¶}©l¡A¤~¦¨¬°¬ü°êªº¹ï¤â¡C¦P¼Ë¦a¡A¤¤°ê¤]¥²¶·¨ã¦³³o¨Ç¯à¤O¡A¤~¯à°÷¦¨¬°¤j°ê¡C

ÁÙ¦³¤@ÂI»Ý­nª`·Nªº¬O¡A²{¥N¥X²{¤F¡u¶W¯Å¤j°ê¡v(superpower)ªº·§©À¡C¬ü°ê©MĬÁp¤£¦ý¨ã¦³¶W±jªº±`³W¾Ôª§»P®Ö¾Ôªº¯à¤O¡AÁÙ¦b¤u·~©M°ª§Þ³N¤W§¹¥þ¦Ûµ¹¦Û¨¬¡A¦Ó¥B¤ô·Ç©ßÂ÷¥þ¥@¬É¡C³o¾É­P¨ä¥L¸û®zªº°ê®a¡A¥²¶·¦V¨â±j¾aÃl¡A¥H«K±o¨ì°ª§Þ³NªºªZ¾¹¡B³q°T§Þ³N©M¹B¿é§Þ³N¡C§Y¨Ï¨â¤è³£¬O¤p°ê¡A¤@¤è±o¨ì¬ü°ê©ÎĬÁpªº¨ó§U¡A¦Ó¥t¤@¤è¨S¦³¡A³£·|³y¦¨«Ü¤jªº¹ê¤O®t¶Z¡C


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/29/2013 : 20:35:35
quote:
Originally posted by xk2008

quote:
Originally posted by SOCOM



²Ä7³¹ °ê»Ú¬Fµ¦¤¤ªº·NÃѧκA¤¸¯À (2)

·NÃѧκAªº§t½k¤£²M

·NÃѧκAªº­I«á§t·N¡A«Ü¦h®É­Ô§t½k¤£²M¡C·í¬Ý¨ì¤@­Ó°ê®a¦b±À¼s¬Y¤@ºØ·NÃѧκAªº®É­Ô¡A¤H­Ì¨ä¹ê«ÜÃø¤À¿ë¡A¨ì©³³o­Ó°ê®a¬O·Q­n¹ê¬I«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡AÁÙ¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬¡F©ÎªÌ±q¥t¤@­Ó¨¤«×»¡¡A´N¬O«ÜÃø°Ï¤À¤@ºØ·NÃѧκAªº¥»½è¡A¬OÄÝ©ó«Ò°ê¥D¸q©Ê½èªº¡AÁÙ¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬©Ê½èªº¡C

Á|¨Ò¡A18-19¥@¬öªº®É­Ô¡A¡uÅv¤O¥­¿Å¡v(balance of power)¬O¤@ºØ«Ü¬y¦æªº·NÃѧκA¡C·í®Éªº¤H­Ì¡AµL½×·Q­nºû«ù²{ª¬ÁÙ¬O±À°Ê«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡A³£·|®³¥XÅv¤O¥­¿Åªº²z¥Ñ¨Ó¡C

«Âº¸»¹ºc·Qªº¥Á±Ú¥D¨M¡Aªí©ú¤W¬O´£­Òºû«ù²{ª¬¡A¦ý¤@¼Ë¥i¥H®³¨Ó¬°«Ò°ê¥D¸qÅGÅ@¡C´L­«§O¤Hªº¥Á±Ú¦Û¥D¡A§Ú­Ì¤£­n«I²¤¨ä¥L¥Á±Ú¡A³o¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬¡C¬°¤FÅý§Ú­Ì¥Á±Úªº¦P­M¤£¨ü¨ä¥L¥Á±Ú²Îªv¡B¹Îµ²¤@°_¡A§Ú­Ì­n§â®ÇÃä°ê®aªº¦P­Mªº©~¦í¬Ù¥÷¨Ö§]¤U¨Ó¡A³o¬O«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡C«e¤å´£¨ì¡A§Æ¯S°Ç¦b¾Ô«e´N¸g±`§Q¥Î¥Á±Ú¦Û¨M§@¬°¯Á¨ú¾F°ê»â¤gªº²z¥Ñ¡C

µS¤Ó¤H»{¬°¡A¥H¦â¦C¬O¤W«ÒÀ³³\¤§¦a¡A¬OÄÝ©ó¥L­Ì¥Á±Úªº¡C¦P¤@®É¶¡¡A¤Ú°Ç´µ©Z¤H¤S»{¬°¡A³o³B¦a¤èÄÝ©ó¤Ú°Ç´µ©Z¤H¡CÂù¤è¬Ò·h¥X¥Á±Ú¦Û¨M¡A¦ý¬O³£µL§U²z²M°ÝÃD¡A¤]µLªk»¡©ú½Ö«I¦û¤F½Öªº¤g¦a¡C

Áp¦X°ê©MÁp¦X°ê¾Ë³¹¤]¬O¤@ºØ·NÃѧκA©Ê½èªº¤u¨ã¡C¤­­Ó±`¥ô²z¨Æ°ê¡A¥HÁp¦X°ê¨Óºû«ù¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô­èµ²§ô®ÉªºÅv¤O¤À§G¡C¥Ñ©ó³o­ÓÅv¤O¤À§G¥u¬O¤@®Éªº¡A·í§Î¶Õ¤£Â_ÂàÅܤ§®É¡AÁp¦X°êªº¨Mij¡A«K·|³Q¤£¦Pªº°ê®a¸ÑŪ¦¨¬Û¤Ïªºµ²½×¡CÁp¦X°ê¾Ë³¹¡A¤]¦¨¤F·NÃѧκA©Ê½èªº¬Fªv¤u¨ã¡C

°ê»Ú¶¡¤]¬y¦æ±À°Ê©M¥­ªº»¡ªk¡A¬O®ÖªZ³±¼v¤Uªº±`¨£µ¦²¤¡CÄߩȾԪ§ªº«e´£¤U¡A«Ü¦h°ê®a³£§ï¬°¹B¥Î«D­x¨Æªº¤â¬q¡C±À°Ê©M¥­¥u¬O¦W¸q¡A¹ê»Ú¤W¬O¤£¤@©w¬OºûÅ@²{ª¬¡A¤]¥i¯à¬O¥H«D­x¨Æ¤â¬q¨ÓÂX±i¶Õ¤O¡Cµô­x»P­­ªZ½Í§P¦P¼Ë¬O¤@ºØ­É¤f¡Cªí­±¤W±À°Ê©M¥­¡A¹ê»Ú¤W¬O´î»´ºû«ù®ÖªZ¾¹ªº­t¾á¡C(SOCOM¡G§ó¶i¤@¨B¬O¡Aº¥º¥Âରµo®i¾Ô²¤¨¾¿m¡A¥u«O¯d°÷¥Îªº®Ö§ðÀ»¯à¤O§Y¥i¡C)


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck



Áp¦X°ê¥²µM¬O¤Ï¬M当时国际权¤O¤À¥¬ªº¡C¤­­Ó±`¥ô²z¨Æ°ê¡A¥HÁp¦X°ê¨Óºû«ù¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô­èµ²§ô®ÉªºÅv¤O¤À§G¡C¤£µM当时¦C强®Ú¥»¤£会¥[¤J联¦X国¡C这Ïú®æ§½­n¥´¯}«Ü简单¡A¦³实¤O¦Ó进¤£¥h±`¥ô²z¨Æ国ªº国®a会«Å¥¬°h¥X联¦X国¦Û¥Ñ¦æ动¡A问题¦ÛµM¸Ñ决¡C

¤£过¨ì¥Ø«e为¤î¡A应该说¤­强¤§间ªº权¤O对¤ñ虽µM较¤G战结§ô时­Ô¤w经¤Ñ®t¦a别¡A¦ý¬O´N¾ãÊ^实¤O来说¤­强联¦X¤@­Pªº话¨ÌµM¬O¤£¥i¬D战ªº¦s¦b¡C·N¤j§Q­±条¤£¨¬论¡AÎ`兴ªº¼w¤é¤]§¹¥þ没¯à¤O¬D战¤­强¡C

¦Ü¤_¦L«×«n«D¤Ú¦èµ¥国¥Ø«e还没¬Ý¥X¨ã备进¤J¤­强ªº实¤O¡C从这¤@点来说¡A¶®尔¶ðÊ^¨t©TµM结§ô¤F¡C¦ý¬O¥@¬É¤­强ªº®æ§½还维«ù着¡C¥u¤£过从过¥hªº¬ü«X­^ªk¤¤¡A现¦b¬O¬ü¤¤«Xªk­^这样ªº§½­±¡C

©Ò¥H还没¨º个·s强国´±¤_°h¥X联¦X国¡C



³o¤@¸`ªº¥DÃD¬O : " ·NÃѧκAªº§t½k¤£²M "


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/29/2013 : 20:30:35
quote:
Originally posted by xk2008

quote:
Originally posted by SOCOM

²Ä9³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À (1)

¦b°ê®a»P°ê®a¤§¶¡ªºÃö«Y·í¤¤¡A¦³­þ¨Ç¤¸¯À¡A²Õ¦¨¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡H¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡A¥Ñ¤°»ò²Õ¦¨¡H

²Õ¦¨°ê®aÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À¡A¤À¬°¨â¤jÃþ¡A¤@¬O¸û¬°Ã­©wªº¤@Ãþ¡A¥t¤@¬O«ùÄò¦a§ïÅܪº¤@Ãþ¡C

¦a²z

¦b©Ò¦³ªº¤¸¯À·í¤¤¡A¦a²z¬O³Ìí©w¡B³Ì¤Ö¦³Åܤƪº¤@ºØ¡C¨Ò¦p¡A¬ü¬w¤j³°¨ü¥¨¤jªº®ü¬v¥]³ò¡A¨Ï±o¬ü°ê»P¼Ú¬w¦³¤T¤d­^¨½ªº¶ZÂ÷¡B»P¨È¬w¬Û¶Z¤»¤d­^¨½¡C¼Ú¨È¤j³°¤Wªº°ê®a·Q­n¤J«I¬ü°ê¡A³£¬O·¥¬°§xÃøªº¨Æ¡A³o¨M©w¤F¬ü°ê¦b¥@¬Éªº¦a¦ì¡C
Áa¨Ï¤µ¤Ñªº¹B¿é¡B³q°T©M¾Ôª§§Þ³N¡A¤w¸g¤j´T¶W¶V¬ü°ê¥ß°ê®É­Ôªº¤ô·Ç¡A¦ý¬O»PĬÁp¡Bªk°ê¡B¤¤°êµ¥¬Û¤ñ¡A¤´µM¨É¦³¤W­zÀu¶Õ¡C³o¬OÆ[¹î¬ü°ê¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦ªº®É­Ô¡A¤@ª½³£¤£¯à©¿²¤ªº¤@ÂI¡C

­^­Û®ü®lªºªý¹j¡A¦P¼Ë¨Ï­^°ê¤H±o¨ì¨¾¿mÀu¶Õ¡C·íµM­^°ê´¿¸g¨ü¨ì³Í¼»¤j«Ò©M©ºªAªÌ«Â·Gªº¦¨¥\¤J«I¡A¦ý¤]ªýµ´¤F®³¯}±[»P§Æ¯S°Ç¡C

¹ï·N¤j§Q¨Ó»¡¡Aªüº¸¨õ´µ¤s¬O¤@­Óªýê·N¤j§Q¤H¦V¤¤¼Ú¶i§ðªº»Ùê¡C¦ý¬O¡A¥Ñ¼Ú³°¥_«I·N¤j§Q«o¬O¬Û¹ï¦a®e©ö¡C

¤ñ§Q¤û´µ¤s¤]§êºtÃþ¦ü¨¤¦â¡C¥¦¤@¤è­±Åý¦è¯Z¤ú¸m¨­©ó¼Ú³°ªº¾Ôª§¤§¥~¡A¦ý¦P®É¡A¤]ªý¹j¤F¼Ú³°ªºª¾ÃÑ¡B¤å¤Æ¡BªÀ·|¡B¸gÀÙµ¥µo®i¶Ç¤J¦è¯Z¤ú¡C

ĬÁpªº»â¤g¦û¥þ¥@¬É¤C¥÷¤§¤@ªº¤g¦a¡C¥Ñ¥Õ¥O®ü®l¨ì¥[¨½¹ç®æ°Ç¡A¬Û¶Z¤­¤d­^¨½¡C®³¯}±[©M§Æ¯S°Ç´¿¸g¤J«I«Xù´µ¡A¦ý¬O­±¹ï¥¨¤jªº¤g¦a¡A­x¶¤©M¸Éµ¹¨Ã¤£¨¬¥HÀ³¥I¡C§Y¨Ï¦b¦û»â°Ï¤º¡A¹ï¥I¹M§G¦U³Bªº¤Ï§Ü²Õ´¡A¤]¬O¤O¦³¤£¶e¡C·Q­n©ºªA«Xù´µ¬O·¥¬°§xÃøªº¨Æ¡C

¦b®Ö¤l®É¥N¡A¥¨¤jªº»â¤g¦³§Q©ó¤À´²¤H¤f¡B¤u·~¡A©M®ÖªZ¾¹¡C¬Û¹ï©ó­^°ê©Mªk°ê¡A«Xù´µ¡B¬ü°ê©M¤¤°ê¦b³o¤è­±¨É¦³©úÅãÀu¶Õ¡C

¥ÑªF¼Ú¦Ü«Xù´µ¬Ò¬°®e©ö³q¦æªº¥­­ì¡A³o¹ï©óĬÁp¨Ó»¡¬J¬OÀu¶Õ¤]¬O¦H¶Õ¡C©Ò¥H¡A¦Û14¥@¬ö¥H¨Ó¡A§ðÀ»©M¤ÏÀ»´N¤£°±¦b¥­­ì¤W­«ºtµÛ¡C¬Û¹ï¦a¡AµÜ¯ôªe«h¥H¬Û¤Ïªº§Î¦¡¡A»¤¨Ïªk°ê¤H¤@ª½·Q­n§JªAªe¹Dªºªý¹j¤J«I¼w·N§Ó¡C

(SOCOM¡G³ßÅwª±¹CÀ¸ªº³£ª¾¹D¡A°£¤F®ü¬v©M°ª¤s¡A¨Fºz¡B´ËªL¡B¼ö±a«BªL¡B¦B¤tµ¥³£¬O¦æ­xªº»Ùê¡A©Ò¥H¤W­±»¡ªº¥u¬O¤@¨Ç¨Ò¤l¡C

¥t¤@¤è­±¡A¤]¥i°Ñ¦Ò¤j°ê¬Fªvªº´d¼@¡C¸Ó®Ñ§â°ê®a¤À¦¨¤j³°°ê®a»P®ü¬v°ê®a¨âÃþ¡A©TµM¹L¥÷²¤Æ¡A¦ý¬O¹ï®ü¬vªý¹jªº»¡©ú»á¬°¸Ô²Ó¡C·Ó²z»¡¡A­^¬üªºÄ¥¶¤¥i¥H¤z¹w¥þ¥@¬É¡A¨ä¥L°ê®a¤]¥i¥Hµo®i¥ý¶iªº®ü­x¤O¶q¤J«I­^¬ü¡C¦ý¬O¹ê»Ú¤W¡A¤j³°¤Wªº¤j°ê¡A¤S­n¦P®ÉÀ³¥I¨ä¥L³°Åv°ê®aªº«Â¯Ù¡A¬G¦ÓµLªk±Mª`©ó¹ï¥I®üÅv°ê®a¡C)


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck



´£个ÉÝ议¡A¦a²z¬O¤£变ªº¡A¦ý¬O§½势却¬O§ï变ªº¡C¦L²Ä¦w¤H时´Áªº¬ü¬w¦a²z©M现¦b¬ü¬w¦a²z¦}没¦³变¤Æ¡A¦ý¬O结ªG却§¹¥þ¤£¦P¡C

´N¤¤国来说¦¿«nªº¦a²z¥j¤µ¦}¤£¤£¦P¡A¦ý¬O¦è汉时´Áªº¦¿«n©M¥j¥N¤¤¦Z´Áªº¦¿«nªº权¤O则§¹¥þ¤£¦P¡C

´N¤¤国¦a²z来说¡A¥j¥N©M现¥N¤]¦}无¤£¦P¡A¦ý¬O­ð´Â时­Ôªº¦a缘©M²M´Â时´Áªº¦a缘¤]¦³¥¨¤jªº¤£¦P¡]欧¬w势¤O从¦è§B§Q亚©M东«n亚¹Gªñ¤¤国¡A¬ü国¦V¤Ó¥­¬v¦è©¤发®i¡A¤é¥»ªº±U°_µ¥µ¥¡^

总¤§¡A¤sªe虽险¡A¦ý¬O还¬O¦b¼w¤£¦b险¡C





¤H®aªº·N«ä«Ü²³æ,¦a²z¬O¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤Oªº¨ä¤¤¤@¶µ¤¸¯À.

¦a²z¬O«Üí©wªº¦]¯À,¦b¤£ºÞ­þ­Ó®É¥N,§A¾Ö­þ­Ó¤ô·Çªº§Þ³N,³£±o­±¹ï¬Û¦Pªº¦]¯À.

¦Ü©ó§½¶Õ«ç¼Ë,§Þ³N«ç¼Ë,¤å©úµ{«×«ç¼Ë,¤£¦b³o¸`½Í.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
xk2008 Posted - 04/29/2013 : 16:24:25
quote:
Originally posted by SOCOM

²Ä9³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À (1)

¦b°ê®a»P°ê®a¤§¶¡ªºÃö«Y·í¤¤¡A¦³­þ¨Ç¤¸¯À¡A²Õ¦¨¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡H¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡A¥Ñ¤°»ò²Õ¦¨¡H

²Õ¦¨°ê®aÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À¡A¤À¬°¨â¤jÃþ¡A¤@¬O¸û¬°Ã­©wªº¤@Ãþ¡A¥t¤@¬O«ùÄò¦a§ïÅܪº¤@Ãþ¡C

¦a²z

¦b©Ò¦³ªº¤¸¯À·í¤¤¡A¦a²z¬O³Ìí©w¡B³Ì¤Ö¦³Åܤƪº¤@ºØ¡C¨Ò¦p¡A¬ü¬w¤j³°¨ü¥¨¤jªº®ü¬v¥]³ò¡A¨Ï±o¬ü°ê»P¼Ú¬w¦³¤T¤d­^¨½ªº¶ZÂ÷¡B»P¨È¬w¬Û¶Z¤»¤d­^¨½¡C¼Ú¨È¤j³°¤Wªº°ê®a·Q­n¤J«I¬ü°ê¡A³£¬O·¥¬°§xÃøªº¨Æ¡A³o¨M©w¤F¬ü°ê¦b¥@¬Éªº¦a¦ì¡C
Áa¨Ï¤µ¤Ñªº¹B¿é¡B³q°T©M¾Ôª§§Þ³N¡A¤w¸g¤j´T¶W¶V¬ü°ê¥ß°ê®É­Ôªº¤ô·Ç¡A¦ý¬O»PĬÁp¡Bªk°ê¡B¤¤°êµ¥¬Û¤ñ¡A¤´µM¨É¦³¤W­zÀu¶Õ¡C³o¬OÆ[¹î¬ü°ê¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦ªº®É­Ô¡A¤@ª½³£¤£¯à©¿²¤ªº¤@ÂI¡C

­^­Û®ü®lªºªý¹j¡A¦P¼Ë¨Ï­^°ê¤H±o¨ì¨¾¿mÀu¶Õ¡C·íµM­^°ê´¿¸g¨ü¨ì³Í¼»¤j«Ò©M©ºªAªÌ«Â·Gªº¦¨¥\¤J«I¡A¦ý¤]ªýµ´¤F®³¯}±[»P§Æ¯S°Ç¡C

¹ï·N¤j§Q¨Ó»¡¡Aªüº¸¨õ´µ¤s¬O¤@­Óªýê·N¤j§Q¤H¦V¤¤¼Ú¶i§ðªº»Ùê¡C¦ý¬O¡A¥Ñ¼Ú³°¥_«I·N¤j§Q«o¬O¬Û¹ï¦a®e©ö¡C

¤ñ§Q¤û´µ¤s¤]§êºtÃþ¦ü¨¤¦â¡C¥¦¤@¤è­±Åý¦è¯Z¤ú¸m¨­©ó¼Ú³°ªº¾Ôª§¤§¥~¡A¦ý¦P®É¡A¤]ªý¹j¤F¼Ú³°ªºª¾ÃÑ¡B¤å¤Æ¡BªÀ·|¡B¸gÀÙµ¥µo®i¶Ç¤J¦è¯Z¤ú¡C

ĬÁpªº»â¤g¦û¥þ¥@¬É¤C¥÷¤§¤@ªº¤g¦a¡C¥Ñ¥Õ¥O®ü®l¨ì¥[¨½¹ç®æ°Ç¡A¬Û¶Z¤­¤d­^¨½¡C®³¯}±[©M§Æ¯S°Ç´¿¸g¤J«I«Xù´µ¡A¦ý¬O­±¹ï¥¨¤jªº¤g¦a¡A­x¶¤©M¸Éµ¹¨Ã¤£¨¬¥HÀ³¥I¡C§Y¨Ï¦b¦û»â°Ï¤º¡A¹ï¥I¹M§G¦U³Bªº¤Ï§Ü²Õ´¡A¤]¬O¤O¦³¤£¶e¡C·Q­n©ºªA«Xù´µ¬O·¥¬°§xÃøªº¨Æ¡C

¦b®Ö¤l®É¥N¡A¥¨¤jªº»â¤g¦³§Q©ó¤À´²¤H¤f¡B¤u·~¡A©M®ÖªZ¾¹¡C¬Û¹ï©ó­^°ê©Mªk°ê¡A«Xù´µ¡B¬ü°ê©M¤¤°ê¦b³o¤è­±¨É¦³©úÅãÀu¶Õ¡C

¥ÑªF¼Ú¦Ü«Xù´µ¬Ò¬°®e©ö³q¦æªº¥­­ì¡A³o¹ï©óĬÁp¨Ó»¡¬J¬OÀu¶Õ¤]¬O¦H¶Õ¡C©Ò¥H¡A¦Û14¥@¬ö¥H¨Ó¡A§ðÀ»©M¤ÏÀ»´N¤£°±¦b¥­­ì¤W­«ºtµÛ¡C¬Û¹ï¦a¡AµÜ¯ôªe«h¥H¬Û¤Ïªº§Î¦¡¡A»¤¨Ïªk°ê¤H¤@ª½·Q­n§JªAªe¹Dªºªý¹j¤J«I¼w·N§Ó¡C

(SOCOM¡G³ßÅwª±¹CÀ¸ªº³£ª¾¹D¡A°£¤F®ü¬v©M°ª¤s¡A¨Fºz¡B´ËªL¡B¼ö±a«BªL¡B¦B¤tµ¥³£¬O¦æ­xªº»Ùê¡A©Ò¥H¤W­±»¡ªº¥u¬O¤@¨Ç¨Ò¤l¡C

¥t¤@¤è­±¡A¤]¥i°Ñ¦Ò¤j°ê¬Fªvªº´d¼@¡C¸Ó®Ñ§â°ê®a¤À¦¨¤j³°°ê®a»P®ü¬v°ê®a¨âÃþ¡A©TµM¹L¥÷²¤Æ¡A¦ý¬O¹ï®ü¬vªý¹jªº»¡©ú»á¬°¸Ô²Ó¡C·Ó²z»¡¡A­^¬üªºÄ¥¶¤¥i¥H¤z¹w¥þ¥@¬É¡A¨ä¥L°ê®a¤]¥i¥Hµo®i¥ý¶iªº®ü­x¤O¶q¤J«I­^¬ü¡C¦ý¬O¹ê»Ú¤W¡A¤j³°¤Wªº¤j°ê¡A¤S­n¦P®ÉÀ³¥I¨ä¥L³°Åv°ê®aªº«Â¯Ù¡A¬G¦ÓµLªk±Mª`©ó¹ï¥I®üÅv°ê®a¡C)


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck



´£个ÉÝ议¡A¦a²z¬O¤£变ªº¡A¦ý¬O§½势却¬O§ï变ªº¡C¦L²Ä¦w¤H时´Áªº¬ü¬w¦a²z©M现¦b¬ü¬w¦a²z¦}没¦³变¤Æ¡A¦ý¬O结ªG却§¹¥þ¤£¦P¡C

´N¤¤国来说¦¿«nªº¦a²z¥j¤µ¦}¤£¤£¦P¡A¦ý¬O¦è汉时´Áªº¦¿«n©M¥j¥N¤¤¦Z´Áªº¦¿«nªº权¤O则§¹¥þ¤£¦P¡C

´N¤¤国¦a²z来说¡A¥j¥N©M现¥N¤]¦}无¤£¦P¡A¦ý¬O­ð´Â时­Ôªº¦a缘©M²M´Â时´Áªº¦a缘¤]¦³¥¨¤jªº¤£¦P¡]欧¬w势¤O从¦è§B§Q亚©M东«n亚¹Gªñ¤¤国¡A¬ü国¦V¤Ó¥­¬v¦è©¤发®i¡A¤é¥»ªº±U°_µ¥µ¥¡^

总¤§¡A¤sªe虽险¡A¦ý¬O还¬O¦b¼w¤£¦b险¡C

SOCOM Posted - 04/28/2013 : 16:50:52
²Ä9³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À (2)

¤ÑµM¸ê·½(Natural Resources)

¤ÑµM¸ê·½¬O¥t¤@ºØ¸û¬°Ã­©wªº­n¯À

³­¹

¦pªG¤@­Ó°ê®a¯à°÷¦b³­¹¤W¦Ûµ¹¦Û¨¬¡A¤@©w¤ñ­Ê¿à¶i¤fªº°ê®a¦û¦³Àu¶Õ¡C³o¥¿¬O¬°¤°»ò¡A­Ê¿à¶i¤f³­¹ªº­^°ê¡A¦b¨â¦¸¤j¾Ô´Á¶¡­±Á{µÛ¬Û·í¤jªº¦MÀI¡C

¼w°ê¹ï¶i¤fªº­Ê¿à¤£­Y­^°ê¡A¦ý¬O¨ä¥Í²£Â³­¹ªº¯à¤O¤´µM¤Q¤À¦³­­¡C¬G¦¹¡A¼w°ê¹ê¬I¤F¤TÂI±¹¬I¡G¤@¡A¦b³­¹¯ÓºÉ¤§«e¡A³t¾Ô³t¨M¦aűo¾Ôª§¡F¤G¡A¦û»âªF¼ÚªºÂ³­¹¥Í²£¦a°Ï¡F¤T¡A®ø·À­^°ê®ü­x¡A¨Ï­^°êµLªkªýºI¼w°êªºÂ³­¹¶i¤f¡C

¨â¦¸¤j¾Ô·í¤¤¡A¼w°ê¥u¦³¦b²Ä¤@¦¸¥@¬É¤j¾Ô¥¼´Á°µ¨ì²Ä¤GÂI¡C¦ý¬O¦b¸ÓÂIµo´§¨M©w©Ê§@¥Î¤§«e¡A¼w°ê«K¤w¸g¾Ô±Ñ¡C

·ù­x¦b¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô®É­Ôªº®üªÅ«ÊÂê¡A´N¬O«d®z¼w°ê¤H¥Á©è§Ü¨M¤ßªºÃöÁ䤧¤@¡C¼w°ê¤´µM¯à°÷ºû«ù¥»¨­ªºÂ³­¹¨ÑÀ³¥R¨¬¡A¿ìªk¥u¤£¹L¬O±N¼Æ¦Ê¸Uªº¦û»â°Ï¤H¥Á¾j¦º¡A©ÎªÌª½±µ±O±þ¡C

¬Û¹ï¦a¡A¬ü°ê¥»¨­ªºÂ³­¹¨ÑÀ³¥R¨¬¡A¥¦´N¤£¥Î§ë¤J§ó¦h¯à·½¡B¸ê·½¥h³B²z³o­Ó°ÝÃD¡A¤]¤£¥Î±N³o­Ó°ÝÃD©ñ¦b¨î©w¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦®É­Ôªº¥D­n¦Ò¶q¤W­±¡C

ªø´Áªº¯Ê¥F³­¹¡A±N¨Ï°ê®a¦b°ê»Ú¬Fªv¤Wªø´Á°I®z¡C¦b¡uºñ¦â­²©R¡v(Green Revolution)¤§«e¡A¦L«×­±Á{¨â¤j°ÝÃD¡G¤H¤f¤j´T¼Wªø¡B³­¹ªº¶i¤f¨ÑÀ³ÄY­«¯Ê¥F¡C³o¨Ï±oÄȯîµo¥Í¡A¦L«×¬F©²ªº¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦¤]¨ü­­©ó³o­ÓÄY­«°ÝÃD¡C

(SOCOM¡Gºñ¦â­²©R¨Ã¥¼¸Ñ¨M¦L«×Äȯî)
http://hep.ccic.ntnu.edu.tw/browse2.php?s=1025

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¦b¬Fªv¤W¡A³­¹¯Ê¥F¯à°÷­P¨Ï¤@­Ó¤j°ê¨«¤U©Y¡C¤Ú¤ñ­Û©M®J¤Î´¿¸g¬Oªü©Ô§Bªº±j°ê¡A¦ý¬OÄéµ@¨t²Îªº¸gÀ祢±Ñ¡A­P¨Ï¤Ú¤ñ­Û¨«¦V°I¸¨¡C®J¤ÎªºÄéµ@¨t²Î¦P¼Ëµo¥Í°ÝÃD¡A¦ý¬O¥§Ã¹ªe¥O¤g¦a¤´µMªÎ¨U¡A­P¨Ï®J¤Îªº°ê¤O¯à°÷ºû«ù¤U¥h¡C

¦è¯Z¤ú´¿¸g¬O¤@­ÓÅv¤O¤¤¤ß(power center)¡A¤@¯ë»{¬°¬O¥¦ªºµL¼ÄÄ¥¶¤¦b1588¦~³Q­^°ê¤H®ø·À¤§«á¡A¤~¥¢¥hÀYµ¥¦a¦ì¡C¨Æ¹ê¤W¡A¯u¥¿¥O¦è¯Z¤ú°I®zªº­ì¦]¦b©ó¡A17-18¥@¬ö´Á¶¡¦b¤¤³¡©M¥_³¡¬å¥ï´ËªL¡A¥O¥i¯Ñ¦aÅܦ¨¨Fºz¤§¬G¡C


­ì§÷®Æ(Raw Materials)

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¤é¥»¬O¤@­Ó¥ý¶iªº¤u·~°ê®a¡A¬Æ¦Ü¦³¥i¯à¦¨¬°¥t¤@­Ó¤j°ê¡A¦ý¬O¥¦ªº¥Ûªo«o§¹¥þ­Ê¿à¶i¤f¡C¸Õ·Q¹³¡A°²¦p¤¤ªFªº²£ªo°ê¦b¥X°â¥Ûªoªº®É­Ô¡AÁÙ¥[¤J¨ä¥Lªþ±a±ø¥ó¡A¤é¥»´X¥G¬O¥²¶·±µ¨ü¡C¬Û¤Ï¡A¦pªG¤é¥»¤£Ä@±µ¨ü¡A¨äªÀ·|©M¸gÀÙ±N·|¦]¬°¯Ê¥F¥Ûªo¦Ó¥þ­±±Y¼ì¡C

²£ªo°êªºÁp¦X¦æ°Ê¤£¦ý±N¥ÛªoÅܦ¨¬Fªv¤u¨ã¡A¥¦­Ì¹ï¥Ûªo¨ÑÀ³ªº±±¨î¡A¦bªø´Á¨Ó»¡¡A§ó¥[¬O¥@¬É¸gÀÙ¤£Ã­©w¡A©M³q³f¿±µÈªº¥D­n­ì¦]¡C


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/27/2013 : 16:34:42
²Ä9³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¤¸¯À (1)

¦b°ê®a»P°ê®a¤§¶¡ªºÃö«Y·í¤¤¡A¦³­þ¨Ç¤¸¯À¡A²Õ¦¨¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡H¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡A¥Ñ¤°»ò²Õ¦¨¡H

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¦a²z

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­^­Û®ü®lªºªý¹j¡A¦P¼Ë¨Ï­^°ê¤H±o¨ì¨¾¿mÀu¶Õ¡C·íµM­^°ê´¿¸g¨ü¨ì³Í¼»¤j«Ò©M©ºªAªÌ«Â·Gªº¦¨¥\¤J«I¡A¦ý¤]ªýµ´¤F®³¯}±[»P§Æ¯S°Ç¡C

¹ï·N¤j§Q¨Ó»¡¡Aªüº¸¨õ´µ¤s¬O¤@­Óªýê·N¤j§Q¤H¦V¤¤¼Ú¶i§ðªº»Ùê¡C¦ý¬O¡A¥Ñ¼Ú³°¥_«I·N¤j§Q«o¬O¬Û¹ï¦a®e©ö¡C

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ĬÁpªº»â¤g¦û¥þ¥@¬É¤C¥÷¤§¤@ªº¤g¦a¡C¥Ñ¥Õ¥O®ü®l¨ì¥[¨½¹ç®æ°Ç¡A¬Û¶Z¤­¤d­^¨½¡C®³¯}±[©M§Æ¯S°Ç´¿¸g¤J«I«Xù´µ¡A¦ý¬O­±¹ï¥¨¤jªº¤g¦a¡A­x¶¤©M¸Éµ¹¨Ã¤£¨¬¥HÀ³¥I¡C§Y¨Ï¦b¦û»â°Ï¤º¡A¹ï¥I¹M§G¦U³Bªº¤Ï§Ü²Õ´¡A¤]¬O¤O¦³¤£¶e¡C·Q­n©ºªA«Xù´µ¬O·¥¬°§xÃøªº¨Æ¡C

¦b®Ö¤l®É¥N¡A¥¨¤jªº»â¤g¦³§Q©ó¤À´²¤H¤f¡B¤u·~¡A©M®ÖªZ¾¹¡C¬Û¹ï©ó­^°ê©Mªk°ê¡A«Xù´µ¡B¬ü°ê©M¤¤°ê¦b³o¤è­±¨É¦³©úÅãÀu¶Õ¡C

¥ÑªF¼Ú¦Ü«Xù´µ¬Ò¬°®e©ö³q¦æªº¥­­ì¡A³o¹ï©óĬÁp¨Ó»¡¬J¬OÀu¶Õ¤]¬O¦H¶Õ¡C©Ò¥H¡A¦Û14¥@¬ö¥H¨Ó¡A§ðÀ»©M¤ÏÀ»´N¤£°±¦b¥­­ì¤W­«ºtµÛ¡C¬Û¹ï¦a¡AµÜ¯ôªe«h¥H¬Û¤Ïªº§Î¦¡¡A»¤¨Ïªk°ê¤H¤@ª½·Q­n§JªAªe¹Dªºªý¹j¤J«I¼w·N§Ó¡C

(SOCOM¡G³ßÅwª±¹CÀ¸ªº³£ª¾¹D¡A°£¤F®ü¬v©M°ª¤s¡A¨Fºz¡B´ËªL¡B¼ö±a«BªL¡B¦B¤tµ¥³£¬O¦æ­xªº»Ùê¡A©Ò¥H¤W­±»¡ªº¥u¬O¤@¨Ç¨Ò¤l¡C

¥t¤@¤è­±¡A¤]¥i°Ñ¦Ò¤j°ê¬Fªvªº´d¼@¡C¸Ó®Ñ§â°ê®a¤À¦¨¤j³°°ê®a»P®ü¬v°ê®a¨âÃþ¡A©TµM¹L¥÷²¤Æ¡A¦ý¬O¹ï®ü¬vªý¹jªº»¡©ú»á¬°¸Ô²Ó¡C·Ó²z»¡¡A­^¬üªºÄ¥¶¤¥i¥H¤z¹w¥þ¥@¬É¡A¨ä¥L°ê®a¤]¥i¥Hµo®i¥ý¶iªº®ü­x¤O¶q¤J«I­^¬ü¡C¦ý¬O¹ê»Ú¤W¡A¤j³°¤Wªº¤j°ê¡A¤S­n¦P®ÉÀ³¥I¨ä¥L³°Åv°ê®aªº«Â¯Ù¡A¬G¦ÓµLªk±Mª`©ó¹ï¥I®üÅv°ê®a¡C)


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/24/2013 : 23:38:57
²Ä8³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¹ê½è (3)

­Ó¤Hªº¤£¦w¥þ(insecurity)»PªÀ·|ªº¤Àµõ

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ªk°ê¤j­²©R»PÀH«áªº¹ï¥~¾Ôª§¡A©M¼Ú¬w¦U¦a¤H¥Á¤Ï§Üªk°ê²Îªvªº¾Ôª§¡A´N¬O¶°Åé¦a¤í¯Ê¦w¥þ·P¡BªÀ·|ªº¤£Ã­©w©ÒIJµoªº§ðÀ»©Ê±¡ºüªº¨ãÅéªí²{¡C¸s²³±N¦Û¨­ªº»{¦P¡AÂಾ¦V§ðÀ»©Êªº¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦¤W­±¡C

¦b19¤Î20¥@¬öªº¦è¤èªÀ·|¡AÀHµÛ¶Ç²Î»ù­È»P©v±Ð³Qº¥º¥¿ò±ó¡BÀHµÛlife and workªº¤£Â_¦X²z¤Æ¡BÀHµÛ¶g´Á©Êªº¸gÀÙ¦M¾÷¡A¡uªÀ·|ªº¤£Ã­©w¡v(social instability)¤]¶V¨Ó¶VÄY­«¡C±¡ºü¤£¦wªº¤H­Ì¡A¶V¨Ó¶V¨ã¦³¥Á±Ú¥D¸q¤Wªº»{¦P¡C¤£¦w»P¯Ü®z¡A³Q¡u°ê®a¡v³o­Ó²Å¸¹(symbol)¨ú¥N¡A¤H¥Á·P¨ìÅܱo±j¤j¡C

¨â¦¸¥@¬É¤j¾Ô¤§«á¡A¬Fªv¡B¸gÀÙ»P­x¨ÆÅv¤O¶°¤¤¦b¬üĬ¨â°ê¡A­²©R©M¸gÀÙ¦M¾÷¦b¥@¬É¦U¦a¦¹°_©¼¸¨¡A¾É­P¤£¦wªº±¡ºü§ó§Î¥[¼@¡C¤H­Ìªº±¡ºü¥X¤f¡A«KÅé²{©ó¥Á¥D»P¦@²£°}À礧¶¡ªº¿E¯P·NÃѧκA°«ª§¤§¤¤¡B¡u¦n»PÃa¡v(good and bad)ªº°«ª§¤§¤¤¡C

¥Ñ19¥@¬ö¥¼¦Ü§N¾Ô¡A¦³¤T­Ó¨Ò¤l¥i¥H¬Ý¨ì­Ó¤Hªº¤£¦w¥þ¡BªÀ·|ªº¤Àµõ¡A©M¥Á±Ú¥D¸q¤§¶¡ªºÃö«Y¡C

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¹ï©ó¼w°ê¨Ó»¡¡A²Ä¤@¦¸¥@¬É¤j¾Ôªº¾Ô±Ñ¡A¤£¦ý¨Ï­ì¦³¨î«×»P¶Ç²Î»ù­È¥Ë¸Ñ¡A§ó¥[¤Þµo°_­²©R¡C·í®ÉªºªÀ·|¼h¯Å(social hierarchy)·í¤¤¡A¤W¼h¬O¦b¬Ó«Ç¤§¤Uªº¡A³o¨Ç¤H¨ü­²©R¼vÅT¦Ó­±Á{¥¢¥hªÀ·|¦a¦ì(social status)ªº¤£¦w¡CµL½×¦p¦ó¡A¤W¼h¤]¦n¡A¤j²³¤]¦n¡A¼w°ê¤Hº¥º¥¬Û«H¡A¾Ô±Ñ»P­²©Rªºµo¥Í¡A¨ä¹ê¬O°ê¤º©M°ê¥~ªº¤@¸s¼Ä¤Hªº¯}Ãa©Ò­P¡A¥²¶·§ä¥X¥L­ÌµM«á®ø·À¡C

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¦A¨Ó¡A1929¦~ªº¸gÀÙ¦M¾÷¡A¨Ï©Ò¦³¼w°ê¤H­±Á{ªÅ«e¦M¾÷¡C¤U¼hªº¤u¤H¶¥¯Å¡A­±Á{¥Ã»·¦A¤]§ä¤£¨ì¤u§@ªº§x¹Ò¡C¤¤²£¶¥¯Å¤~­è­è±q³q³f¿±µÈªº·l¥¢¤¤²¤¬°«ì´_¡A«o¤S­n­±Á{§ó¤j·l¥¢¡C¥ø·~®a­n©Ó¾á§ó¦hªºªÀ·|¸q°È¡AÁÙ­nÄß©È­²©R¡C©ó¬O¯ÇºéÄÒ«ü¥X¨â­Ó¼Ä¤H¡G¤Zº¸Áɱø¬ù©M¥¬º¸³·ºû§J¥D¸q¡C¦p¦¹¡A¼w°êªº¦UºØ¤£¦w±¡ºü³Q¶°¦X°_¨Ó¡AÂà¤Æ¦¨·¥ºÝªº¥Á±Ú¥D¸q¡A¤@­P«ü¦V°ê¤º¥~ªº¦U­Ó¼Ä¤H¡C

¯Çºé¼w°êªº¨Ò¤lÁöµM¬O³Ì¬°·¥ºÝªº¡A¦ý©Ê½è¤W»P¨ä¥Lªº¥Á±Ú¥D¸q¨ä¹ê¬Û¦P¡A¥u¤£¹L¬Oµ{«×¤W¦³®t²§¡C

ĬÁp¤è­±¡A¦û¤H¤f¤j¦h¼Æªº¤u¤H©M¹A¥Á¡A¦b·¥§Cªº¥Í¬¡¤ô·Ç©Mĵ¹î°ê®aªººÊ±±¤U¡A¨S¦³¾÷·|¦b°ê¤ºªÀ·|¸Ìº¡¨¬¨äÅv¤O¤Wªº»Ý­n¡CĬÁpªº·¥ÅvÅé¨î±N³o¨Ç®À§é·P¡B¤£¦w©M®£Äß¡AÂà¤Æ¦¨¬°¹ï¡u¥@¬É¤W³Ì¥ý¶iªº°ê®a¡v¡B¡uªÀ·|¥D¸qªº¯ª°ê¡vªº»{¦P¡F¤]±N¤H¥Áªº®£ÄßÂà¤Æ¦¨¬°¹ï¸ê¥»¥D¸q°ê®aªº¼Äµø¡C´«¥y¸Ü»¡¡A§Y¬O±N°ê¤ºªº¤£¦w¡AÂàÅܦ¨¼Äµø¦è¤è°ê®aªº¶°Å鱡ºü¡C

¬ü°êªº§Î¶Õ´Ní©w±o¦h¡C¬ü°êªº¤H¤f¥H¤¤²£¶¥¯Å¬°¥D¡A¬ü°êªºªÀ·|»ù­È¤]¬O¥H¤¤²£¶¥¯Åªº»ù­È¬°¥D¡C¬Û¤ñ°_¤W­z¨â¨Ò¡A¬ü°êªÀ·|¨ã¦³¸û¦hªº¾÷·|¡AÅý¤H­Ì©¹¤W­±ªº¶¥¯Å¬y°Ê¡C¬ü°êªº¥Á±Ú¥D¸q±¡ºü¡A¤£­YĬÁp©M¯Çºé¼w°ê±j¯P¡C¤£¹L¡A¬ü°ê¤Hªº¤£¦w¡B®À§é©M®£Äß¡A¥¿ÀHµÛ°ê¤º¥~ªº§Î¶Õ´c¤Æ¦Ó¥[¼@¡C³o¨Ç±¡ºü¡A«Ü¥i¯à·|º¥º¥Âà¤Æ¦¨±a¦³§ðÀ»©Êªº¥Á±Ú¥D¸q¡C

²Ä8³¹§¹


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/23/2013 : 21:19:44
²Ä8³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¹ê½è (2)

¦b®³¯}±[®É¥N¤§«e¡A«Ü¤Ö¤H¨ã¦³¤µ¤Ñ©Ò»¡ªº°ê®a»{¦P¡C·í¤@­Ó°ê®a±À¦æ¬Y¶µ¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦ªº®É­Ô¡A¤H¥Á§Y¨Ï²o¯A©Î°Ñ»P¨ä¤¤¡A³o¨Ç¤H¥Á¥u·|¹ï²ÎªvªÌ©Î¬Ó«Çµ¥²£¥Í»{¦P¡A¦Ó¤£¬O»{¦P°ê®a¡C¤H­Ì¥i¯à¼ö¤ß¦a°lÀHµÌ¯S¯P¤j«Ò(Frederick the Great)¡A¦ý¬O¹ï´¶¾|¤h³o³B¦a¤èºz¤£Ãö¤ß¡C

¦ý¬O®³¯}±[®É¥N§ïÅܤF¤@¤Á¡C°ê®a¬O¤@­Ó¸sÅé¡A¤H­Ì»{¦P¦Û¤v¬OÄÝ©ó¸Ó°êªº¡A»{¦Pªº¹ï¶H¬O¾ã­Ó°ê®a¡Cªk°ê¥~¥æ©x¶ð¤OÄõ(Talleyrand)´¿¦b1808¦~¦V¨F¬Ó«ü¥X¡G¡uµÜ¯ôªe¡Bªüº¸¨õ´µ¤s¡B¤ñ§Q¤û´µ¤s¯ß³£¬Oªk°ê©Ò©ºªAªº¡F¬Ó«Ò©M¥Lªº©Ò¦³ªF¦è¡A¹ïªk°ê¨Ó»¡¤@ÂI³£¤£­«­n¡C¡v

¨ì¤F²Ä¤@¦¸¤j¾Ô´Á¶¡¡A§Y¨Ï¬O¼Ú¬wªºªÀ·|¥D¸qÄÒ¬£¡A¤j³¡¥÷ªºÄÒ­û¤´µM°Ñ»P©ÒÄÝ°ê®aªº­x¶¤¡C

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¥Á±Ú¥D¸q¯u¥¿ªº®ø°hµo¥Í¦b¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô¤§«áªº¦è¼Ú¡C¤G¾Ô¤§«á¡A¼Ú¬w³q¹L¤@­Ó¤S¤@­Óªº¶W°ê®a(supranational)²Õ´¡A¨Ò¦p¼Ú¬w·Ñ¿û¦@¦PÅé¡B¼Ú¬w¦@¦P¥«³õ¡B¼Ú¬w­ì¤l¯à¾÷ºc¡K¡K¨ì¤µ¤Ñªº¼Ú·ù¡A¹ê¬I¾ã¦X(integration)¹B°Ê¡C³o¨Ç¾ã¦X¹B°Ê·½©ó¾Ô«áªº¨âÂI¼Ú¬w§Î¶Õ¡G²Ä¤@¡A¤G¦¸¤j¾Ôªº·´·À©Ê(destructiveness)¡A²Ä¤G¡A¼Ú¬w¦U°ê¦b¬Fªv¡B­x¨Æ¡B¸gÀÙ¤WªºÄY­«°I®z¡C

³oºØinsecurityªº·NÃÑ¡A­¢¨Ï¼Ú¬w¦h°ê¨«¦V¾ã¦X¡C¥¼¨Óªº¶i®i¦³´XºØ¥i¯à©Ê¡G¤@¡A²Î¤@¦¨¬°¤@­Ó·s°ê®a¡F¤G¡A¶i¤J¤@ºØ¤j®a¤@°_©ñ±ó¥ô¦ó¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦ªº¬FªvµL¯àª¬ºA¡F¤T¡A¤H­ÌÂà¦Ó»{¦P¤£¦Pªº­Ó§O°ê®a(SOCOM¡G§Y·sªº¥Á±Ú¥D¸q§Î¶Õ)¡Cª½¨ì¤µ¤Ñ¡A³o¤´µM¬O¥¼ª¾¼Æ¡C

¥t¤@ºØªý¼¸¥Á±Ú¥D¸q´_µdªº¦]¯À¡A´N¬O¤@¨ÇµLªk¥Ñ¥ô¦ó¤@­Ó°ê®a¿W¤O¸Ñ¨Mªº°ÝÃD¡C®Ö¯àªº±±¨î¡B¦ÛµMÀô¹Ò«OÅ@©Mªº¸É±Ï¡B³­¹©Mµ}¦³¸ê·½ªº¨ÑÀ³µ¥µ¥¡A³£ÄÝ©ó³oÃþ¡C³o¨Ç³£¬O¨C¤@­Ó°ê®a¥²¶·­±¹ïªº°ÝÃD¡A¦P®É¤]¬O¥²¶·¦@¦P¦X§@¤~¯à¸Ñ¨Mªº°ÝÃD¡C¤£¹L¡A¹ê»Ú¤W¬Ý¨ìªº¬O¡A¦b¥Á±Ú¥D¸qÅX¨Ï¤U¡A¦U°ê¤´µM¥H¦Û¨­ªºÅv¤O©M§Q¯q¬°Àu¥ý¡A¬G¦Ó¨S¦³¥R¤À¦a¹ê²{°ê»Ú©Êªº¦X§@¡C


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
xk2008 Posted - 04/23/2013 : 16:51:19
http://www.21ccom.net/articles/sxwh/shsc/article_2011091945550.html

时®ï¥°¡G¤å©ú«Ò国¥D义ªº¤¤国ª©¥»

³Ìªñ¬Ý¨ìªº国际关¨t²z论ªº¬ã¨s¡A«Ü¦³·N«ä
xk2008 Posted - 04/13/2013 : 00:45:57
quote:
Originally posted by SOCOM



²Ä7³¹ °ê»Ú¬Fµ¦¤¤ªº·NÃѧκA¤¸¯À (2)

·NÃѧκAªº§t½k¤£²M

·NÃѧκAªº­I«á§t·N¡A«Ü¦h®É­Ô§t½k¤£²M¡C·í¬Ý¨ì¤@­Ó°ê®a¦b±À¼s¬Y¤@ºØ·NÃѧκAªº®É­Ô¡A¤H­Ì¨ä¹ê«ÜÃø¤À¿ë¡A¨ì©³³o­Ó°ê®a¬O·Q­n¹ê¬I«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡AÁÙ¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬¡F©ÎªÌ±q¥t¤@­Ó¨¤«×»¡¡A´N¬O«ÜÃø°Ï¤À¤@ºØ·NÃѧκAªº¥»½è¡A¬OÄÝ©ó«Ò°ê¥D¸q©Ê½èªº¡AÁÙ¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬©Ê½èªº¡C

Á|¨Ò¡A18-19¥@¬öªº®É­Ô¡A¡uÅv¤O¥­¿Å¡v(balance of power)¬O¤@ºØ«Ü¬y¦æªº·NÃѧκA¡C·í®Éªº¤H­Ì¡AµL½×·Q­nºû«ù²{ª¬ÁÙ¬O±À°Ê«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡A³£·|®³¥XÅv¤O¥­¿Åªº²z¥Ñ¨Ó¡C

«Âº¸»¹ºc·Qªº¥Á±Ú¥D¨M¡Aªí©ú¤W¬O´£­Òºû«ù²{ª¬¡A¦ý¤@¼Ë¥i¥H®³¨Ó¬°«Ò°ê¥D¸qÅGÅ@¡C´L­«§O¤Hªº¥Á±Ú¦Û¥D¡A§Ú­Ì¤£­n«I²¤¨ä¥L¥Á±Ú¡A³o¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬¡C¬°¤FÅý§Ú­Ì¥Á±Úªº¦P­M¤£¨ü¨ä¥L¥Á±Ú²Îªv¡B¹Îµ²¤@°_¡A§Ú­Ì­n§â®ÇÃä°ê®aªº¦P­Mªº©~¦í¬Ù¥÷¨Ö§]¤U¨Ó¡A³o¬O«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡C«e¤å´£¨ì¡A§Æ¯S°Ç¦b¾Ô«e´N¸g±`§Q¥Î¥Á±Ú¦Û¨M§@¬°¯Á¨ú¾F°ê»â¤gªº²z¥Ñ¡C

µS¤Ó¤H»{¬°¡A¥H¦â¦C¬O¤W«ÒÀ³³\¤§¦a¡A¬OÄÝ©ó¥L­Ì¥Á±Úªº¡C¦P¤@®É¶¡¡A¤Ú°Ç´µ©Z¤H¤S»{¬°¡A³o³B¦a¤èÄÝ©ó¤Ú°Ç´µ©Z¤H¡CÂù¤è¬Ò·h¥X¥Á±Ú¦Û¨M¡A¦ý¬O³£µL§U²z²M°ÝÃD¡A¤]µLªk»¡©ú½Ö«I¦û¤F½Öªº¤g¦a¡C

Áp¦X°ê©MÁp¦X°ê¾Ë³¹¤]¬O¤@ºØ·NÃѧκA©Ê½èªº¤u¨ã¡C¤­­Ó±`¥ô²z¨Æ°ê¡A¥HÁp¦X°ê¨Óºû«ù¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô­èµ²§ô®ÉªºÅv¤O¤À§G¡C¥Ñ©ó³o­ÓÅv¤O¤À§G¥u¬O¤@®Éªº¡A·í§Î¶Õ¤£Â_ÂàÅܤ§®É¡AÁp¦X°êªº¨Mij¡A«K·|³Q¤£¦Pªº°ê®a¸ÑŪ¦¨¬Û¤Ïªºµ²½×¡CÁp¦X°ê¾Ë³¹¡A¤]¦¨¤F·NÃѧκA©Ê½èªº¬Fªv¤u¨ã¡C

°ê»Ú¶¡¤]¬y¦æ±À°Ê©M¥­ªº»¡ªk¡A¬O®ÖªZ³±¼v¤Uªº±`¨£µ¦²¤¡CÄߩȾԪ§ªº«e´£¤U¡A«Ü¦h°ê®a³£§ï¬°¹B¥Î«D­x¨Æªº¤â¬q¡C±À°Ê©M¥­¥u¬O¦W¸q¡A¹ê»Ú¤W¬O¤£¤@©w¬OºûÅ@²{ª¬¡A¤]¥i¯à¬O¥H«D­x¨Æ¤â¬q¨ÓÂX±i¶Õ¤O¡Cµô­x»P­­ªZ½Í§P¦P¼Ë¬O¤@ºØ­É¤f¡Cªí­±¤W±À°Ê©M¥­¡A¹ê»Ú¤W¬O´î»´ºû«ù®ÖªZ¾¹ªº­t¾á¡C(SOCOM¡G§ó¶i¤@¨B¬O¡Aº¥º¥Âରµo®i¾Ô²¤¨¾¿m¡A¥u«O¯d°÷¥Îªº®Ö§ðÀ»¯à¤O§Y¥i¡C)


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck



Áp¦X°ê¥²µM¬O¤Ï¬M当时国际权¤O¤À¥¬ªº¡C¤­­Ó±`¥ô²z¨Æ°ê¡A¥HÁp¦X°ê¨Óºû«ù¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô­èµ²§ô®ÉªºÅv¤O¤À§G¡C¤£µM当时¦C强®Ú¥»¤£会¥[¤J联¦X国¡C这Ïú®æ§½­n¥´¯}«Ü简单¡A¦³实¤O¦Ó进¤£¥h±`¥ô²z¨Æ国ªº国®a会«Å¥¬°h¥X联¦X国¦Û¥Ñ¦æ动¡A问题¦ÛµM¸Ñ决¡C

¤£过¨ì¥Ø«e为¤î¡A应该说¤­强¤§间ªº权¤O对¤ñ虽µM较¤G战结§ô时­Ô¤w经¤Ñ®t¦a别¡A¦ý¬O´N¾ãÊ^实¤O来说¤­强联¦X¤@­Pªº话¨ÌµM¬O¤£¥i¬D战ªº¦s¦b¡C·N¤j§Q­±条¤£¨¬论¡AÎ`兴ªº¼w¤é¤]§¹¥þ没¯à¤O¬D战¤­强¡C

¦Ü¤_¦L«×«n«D¤Ú¦èµ¥国¥Ø«e还没¬Ý¥X¨ã备进¤J¤­强ªº实¤O¡C从这¤@点来说¡A¶®尔¶ðÊ^¨t©TµM结§ô¤F¡C¦ý¬O¥@¬É¤­强ªº®æ§½还维«ù着¡C¥u¤£过从过¥hªº¬ü«X­^ªk¤¤¡A现¦b¬O¬ü¤¤«Xªk­^这样ªº§½­±¡C

©Ò¥H还没¨º个·s强国´±¤_°h¥X联¦X国¡C
SOCOM Posted - 04/13/2013 : 00:05:56
²Ä8³¹ °ê®aÅv¤Oªº¹ê½è (1)

Åv¤O´N¬O¤@¤è¯à°÷±±¨î¥t¤@¤èªº·Qªk»P¦æ°Ê¡C¤H­Ì¥i¥H®e©ö²z¸Ñ¤@­Ó¤H¬°¤°»ò·Q­nÅv¤O¡A©M¥L«ç¼Ë¥h±±¨î¨ä¥L¤H¡A¦ý¬O¡A­n«ç»ò¸ÑÄÀ¤@­Ó°ê®a¬°¤°»ò©M«ç¼Ë¥h±±¨î¥t¤@¨Ç°ê®a¡H

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¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡A©ÎªÌ¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦¡A¨Ã¤£µ¥©ó©Ò¦³¨C¤@­Ó°ê¥ÁªºÅv¤O©ÎªÌ¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦¡C¤@­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O«Ü±j¤j¡A¤£¥Nªí¨C¤@­Ó°ê¥ÁªºÅv¤O³£«Ü±j¤j¡C°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡A¥u¥Nªí¨º¨Ç¤ä°t©M¹ê¬I¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦ªº©x­ûªºÅv¤O¡C³o¨Ç©x­û¦b°ê»Ú¶¡¥Nªí¦Û¤vªº°ê®a¡B¨î©w©M°õ¦æ¬Fµ¦¡C°ê®aªºÅv¤O©M¥~¥æ¬Fµ¦¡A¬OÄÝ©ó¥L­Ìªº¡C

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©Ò¥H¡AªÀ·|¤W¥u¦³¤Ö¼Æ¤H´¤¦³¸û¤jªºÅv¤O¡A¤@¯ë¤½²³³£¬O³Q²ÎªvµÛ¡C³Q²Îªvªº¦h¼Æ¤H¡A¹ï©ó¦Û¨­¨ã¦³ªº¤@¤BÂIÅv¤O¡A¦ÛµM·P¨ì¤£º¡·N¡C¦b°ê¹Ò¤º·P¨ì¤£º¡·N¡A¤S¨S¦³¿ìªkÀò¨ì¸û¦hÅv¤O¡Aµø½u´N«Ü®e©ö³QÂಾ¨ì°ê¥~¥h¡C¤@­Ó¨S¦³¤°»òÅv¤O¬ü°ê´¶³q¤H¥Á¡A«o¥i¯à¬°¦Û¤v°ê®aªº±j¤j¦Ó·P¨ìź¶Æ¡C

´¤¦³Åv¤Oªº¤Ö¼Æ²ÎªvªÌ¡A«Ü¥i¯à¹B¥Î¨î«×±N¥Á²³ªºµø½u¶°¦X°_¨Ó¡A§i¶D¥L­ÌÄÝ©ó¦P¤@­Ó°ê®a¡A¦Ó¥B¨ã¦³­È±oź¶Æªº±j¤j¤O¶q¡C¤@­Ó­Ó¤HÂX±iÅv¤O·|³Q»{¬°¤£¦X¹D¼w¡A¦ý¬O¬°°ê®aª§¨úÅv¤O«o¬O¨C¤@­Ó¤½¥Á³£À³¸Ó°µªº¨Æ¡C¦bº´°Ê¤§¤U¡A¤H¥Á±N¦Û¤v©M°ê®aªºÅv¤O¡A»{¦P¦b¤@°_¡A¥H°ê®aªº±j¤j¨Ó¦b¤ß²z¤W¸ÉÀv¦Û¤v¡C


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/10/2013 : 23:12:07


²Ä7³¹ °ê»Ú¬Fµ¦¤¤ªº·NÃѧκA¤¸¯À (2)

·NÃѧκAªº§t½k¤£²M

·NÃѧκAªº­I«á§t·N¡A«Ü¦h®É­Ô§t½k¤£²M¡C·í¬Ý¨ì¤@­Ó°ê®a¦b±À¼s¬Y¤@ºØ·NÃѧκAªº®É­Ô¡A¤H­Ì¨ä¹ê«ÜÃø¤À¿ë¡A¨ì©³³o­Ó°ê®a¬O·Q­n¹ê¬I«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡AÁÙ¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬¡F©ÎªÌ±q¥t¤@­Ó¨¤«×»¡¡A´N¬O«ÜÃø°Ï¤À¤@ºØ·NÃѧκAªº¥»½è¡A¬OÄÝ©ó«Ò°ê¥D¸q©Ê½èªº¡AÁÙ¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬©Ê½èªº¡C

Á|¨Ò¡A18-19¥@¬öªº®É­Ô¡A¡uÅv¤O¥­¿Å¡v(balance of power)¬O¤@ºØ«Ü¬y¦æªº·NÃѧκA¡C·í®Éªº¤H­Ì¡AµL½×·Q­nºû«ù²{ª¬ÁÙ¬O±À°Ê«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡A³£·|®³¥XÅv¤O¥­¿Åªº²z¥Ñ¨Ó¡C

«Âº¸»¹ºc·Qªº¥Á±Ú¥D¨M¡Aªí©ú¤W¬O´£­Òºû«ù²{ª¬¡A¦ý¤@¼Ë¥i¥H®³¨Ó¬°«Ò°ê¥D¸qÅGÅ@¡C´L­«§O¤Hªº¥Á±Ú¦Û¥D¡A§Ú­Ì¤£­n«I²¤¨ä¥L¥Á±Ú¡A³o¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬¡C¬°¤FÅý§Ú­Ì¥Á±Úªº¦P­M¤£¨ü¨ä¥L¥Á±Ú²Îªv¡B¹Îµ²¤@°_¡A§Ú­Ì­n§â®ÇÃä°ê®aªº¦P­Mªº©~¦í¬Ù¥÷¨Ö§]¤U¨Ó¡A³o¬O«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡C«e¤å´£¨ì¡A§Æ¯S°Ç¦b¾Ô«e´N¸g±`§Q¥Î¥Á±Ú¦Û¨M§@¬°¯Á¨ú¾F°ê»â¤gªº²z¥Ñ¡C

µS¤Ó¤H»{¬°¡A¥H¦â¦C¬O¤W«ÒÀ³³\¤§¦a¡A¬OÄÝ©ó¥L­Ì¥Á±Úªº¡C¦P¤@®É¶¡¡A¤Ú°Ç´µ©Z¤H¤S»{¬°¡A³o³B¦a¤èÄÝ©ó¤Ú°Ç´µ©Z¤H¡CÂù¤è¬Ò·h¥X¥Á±Ú¦Û¨M¡A¦ý¬O³£µL§U²z²M°ÝÃD¡A¤]µLªk»¡©ú½Ö«I¦û¤F½Öªº¤g¦a¡C

Áp¦X°ê©MÁp¦X°ê¾Ë³¹¤]¬O¤@ºØ·NÃѧκA©Ê½èªº¤u¨ã¡C¤­­Ó±`¥ô²z¨Æ°ê¡A¥HÁp¦X°ê¨Óºû«ù¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô­èµ²§ô®ÉªºÅv¤O¤À§G¡C¥Ñ©ó³o­ÓÅv¤O¤À§G¥u¬O¤@®Éªº¡A·í§Î¶Õ¤£Â_ÂàÅܤ§®É¡AÁp¦X°êªº¨Mij¡A«K·|³Q¤£¦Pªº°ê®a¸ÑŪ¦¨¬Û¤Ïªºµ²½×¡CÁp¦X°ê¾Ë³¹¡A¤]¦¨¤F·NÃѧκA©Ê½èªº¬Fªv¤u¨ã¡C

°ê»Ú¶¡¤]¬y¦æ±À°Ê©M¥­ªº»¡ªk¡A¬O®ÖªZ³±¼v¤Uªº±`¨£µ¦²¤¡CÄߩȾԪ§ªº«e´£¤U¡A«Ü¦h°ê®a³£§ï¬°¹B¥Î«D­x¨Æªº¤â¬q¡C±À°Ê©M¥­¥u¬O¦W¸q¡A¹ê»Ú¤W¬O¤£¤@©w¬OºûÅ@²{ª¬¡A¤]¥i¯à¬O¥H«D­x¨Æ¤â¬q¨ÓÂX±i¶Õ¤O¡Cµô­x»P­­ªZ½Í§P¦P¼Ë¬O¤@ºØ­É¤f¡Cªí­±¤W±À°Ê©M¥­¡A¹ê»Ú¤W¬O´î»´ºû«ù®ÖªZ¾¹ªº­t¾á¡C(SOCOM¡G§ó¶i¤@¨B¬O¡Aº¥º¥Âରµo®i¾Ô²¤¨¾¿m¡A¥u«O¯d°÷¥Îªº®Ö§ðÀ»¯à¤O§Y¥i¡C)


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/10/2013 : 20:42:48
quote:
Originally posted by xk2008

quote:
Originally posted by SOCOM


²Ä6³¹ ª§¹ÜÅv¤O¡G«Â±æ¬Fµ¦ (2)

­x¶¤¬O°ê¤Oªº©úÅã¶H¼x¡A©Ò¥H®i¥Ü­x¤O¤]¬O±`¥Îªº«Â±æ¬Fµ¦¡A§@¥Î¬OÅý¹ï¤è¹ï¥»°êªº­x¤O¡A¯d¤U²`¨è¦L¶H¡C¬£§L³X°Ý¥~°ê¡B°Ñ»PÁp¦X­x¨Æºt²ßµ¥¡A³£¬O±`¥Î¤â¬q¡C

1946¦~¡A¬ü°ê¦b®ü¤W¤½¶}´ú¸Õ­ì¤l¼uªº®É­Ô¡A¤£¦ý¦A¦¸Åý¤H­Ì¬Ý¨ì¬ü°ê¦b­ì¤l¼u¤WªºÃbÂ_¦a¦ì¡A«e©¹°ÑÆ[ªºÁp¦X°ê¥Nªí§ó»¡¡A¥Î¨Ó´ú¸ÕªºÄ¥¸¥¡A¬Æ¦Ü¤ñ«Ü¦h°ê®aªº®ü­xÄ¥¸¥ÁÙ­n¦h¡C

®ü­x¥»¨­¤]¬O°ª¾÷°Ê©Êªº­xºØ¡A¬G¦¹¬£®ü­x¥X°ê¡B¨µ¯è¡A¥i¥HÅý¤H¦L¶H²`¨è¡C1891¦~ªk°ê®ü­x³X°Ý«Xù´µ³Ø²w¬I¶ð±o´ä(Kronstadt)¡A±µµÛ«Xù´µ¤S¦b1893¦~³X°Ýªk°ê¤g­Û´ä(Toulon)¡C³o¶µÁ|°Ê¡A¦V¦U°ê¬F©²¹w§i¡Aªk°ê©M«Xù´µªºÁp·ùÃö«Y¡C¼w°ê©Mªk°ê´N¼¯¬¥­ôªºTangierµo¥Í»â¤gª§Ä³®É¡A¬Ó«Ò«Â·G¤G¥@¦b1905¦~­¼§¤­xÄ¥¨ì·í¦a³X°Ý¡C¬ü°ê¦b©Ô¤B¬ü¬w©M»·ªF¡A¦Ê¦h¦~¨Ó¬£¥X®ü­x¨µÅÞ¡A¤£Â_´£¿ô·í¦a¤H­Ì¡A¬ü°êªº¤O¶q¡C§N¾Ô®É­Ô¡A¥_¬ù²Õ´¸g±`Á|¦æ¦h°êÁp¦X­x¨Æºt²ß¡A¦®¦b¦VĬÁp®i¥Ü¨¾½Ãªº¯à¤O¡Aµo´§À~ªýªº®ÄªG¡C

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«Â±æ¬Fµ¦ªº²Ä¤GÃþ¥Ø¼Ð´N¬O¬°¤F¤ä´©ºû«ù²{ª¬©Î«Ò°ê¥D¸q¬Fµ¦¡A³o¬O³Ì¥D­n©M³Ì±`¨£ªº¤@ºØ¡C

¬°¤F¤ä´©ºû«ù²{ª¬¬Fµ¦¡A¬ü°ê¤£Â_´£¿ô©Ô¤B¬ü¬w¤H¡A¨ä¨ã¦³¿W¤jªºÅv¤O¡C¾Ô¶¡´Áªº©M¥­¦b©ó¡Aªk°ê®i¥Ü¤F¨ä¼Ú¬w³Ì±jªº­x¤O¡C¼w°ê±N¤G¦¸¤j¾Ôªì´Á°{¹q¾Ôªº¬ö¿ý¤ù»s§@¦¨«Å¶Ç¤ù¡A¨Ã¥B¦V¥~¬É®i¥Ü¡A¤ä«ù¤F¨ä«Ò°ê¥D¸q¬Fµ¦¡C

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³æ¾a«Â±æ¡A¨Ã¤£¯àµo´§§@¥Î¡A¦ý¥¦¨ÏÅv¤Oªº®ÄªG¥R¤Àµo´§¡C¦b³Ì¦¨¥\ªº®É­Ô¡A¥i¥H¥u¹B¥Î«Â±æ¡A¦ÓµL»Ý¨C¦¸³£ª½±µ¬I®iÅv¤O¡C­n°µ¨ì³o¤@ÂI¡A¥²¶·­n¦³¤@ºØ¡u¦WÁn¡v(reputation)¨¬¥HÅý§O¤H¬Û«H¡A³o­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¤w¸g¤j¨ìµL¥i¬D¾Ô¡A¦P®É¤S­n¦³¥t¤@ºØ¦WÁn¨¬¥HÅý§O¤H¬Û«H¡A³o­Ó°ê®a¹ï©ó¹B¥ÎÅv¤O¬O¬Û·í¦Û¨î(self-restraint)¡C

ù°¨«Ò°ê¨ã¦³¿W¤jªº¬Fªv©M­x¨ÆÅv¤O¡C¤H­Ì°²¦p¤Ï§Ü¡A¤Ï§Ü¹B°Ê±N·|³Q¤Àµõ¡B©t¥ß©M³v­ÓÀ»¯}¡C¦P®É¡Aù°¨ªk(Roman Law)Åý¤H­Ì¬Û«H¡A«Ò°ê¨Ã¤£·|ÀÝ¥ÎÅv¤O¡A¦a¤è¤]¤£·|³QµL¬GÂíÀ£¡C

­^°ê¤]¯à°÷°µ¨ì³oºØµL¥i¬D¾ÔªºÅv¤O»P¦³©ú½T­ì«hªº¦Û¨î¡A¨Ï¨ä«Ò°êºû«ù¤F¬Û·íªøªº®É¶¡¡Cª½¨ì¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô¡A¤H­Ì©ú½T¨£ÃѨì­^°ê¤w¸gµL¤Oºû«ù´Þ¥Á«Ò°ê¡A¦L«×»P´Þ¥Á¦aªº¿W¥ß¹B°Ê«K¦b¾Ô«á¥|°_¡C

¬ü°êªº·ü¾F¬Fµ¦(Good Neighbor Policy)¦P¼Ëµo´§¤F¬Û¦P¥\®Ä¡Aª½¨ì¤µ¤Ñ¤´µM¦b¬ü¬wºû«ùµÛ¿W¤j¦a¦ì¡C

«Â±æ´N¦n¹³»È¦æªº«H¥Î¡C¹ê¤O¶¯«pªº°ê®a¡A§Y¨Ïµo¥Í¹L¤p³W¼Òªº¥¢±Ñ¡A¤]¤£·|·l¤Î«Â±æ¡Cªk°ê¦b¤¤«n¥b®q©Mªüº¸¤Î§Q¨È´Þ¥Á¦aªº¾Ôª§¤¤­±Á{¥¢±Ñ¡A¦ý¥¦¹ï¥¢±Ñªºµ½«á(liquidate)¤u§@¡A«oűo¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô¥H¨Óªº«Â±æ°ª®p¡C¬ü°ê¦b1962¦~ªº½ÞÆW¤J«I¤¤¥¢±Ñ¡A¦ý¬OµL·l¥¦¬ü¬wÅQÅv¦a¦ì¡C¤@­Ó¬F©²¡Aµ´¤£À³¬°¤F«Â±æªº¤@®É°_¥ñ¦ÓÅå·W¥¢±¹¡C

¥²­n®É¡A¤]¥i¥H§Q¥Îµê±iÁn¶Õ(bluff)ªº¤èªk¨Ó¹B¥Î«Â±æ¡C¤èªk´N¦n¹³¡A©ú©ú¨S¦³¨º»ò¦hºt­û¡A¦ý´N¦w±Æ¥L­Ì¤@¦¸¤S¤@¦¸¦a¨«¤W©M¨«¤U»R¥x¡C1935¦~ªº¨Ì¯Á¤ñ¨È¾Ôª§»P1942¦~ªº¥_«D¾Ô§Ð´Á¶¡¡A·N¤j§Q´N¹B¥Î³oºØ¤èªk¸Ø¤j¹ê¤O¡A­P¨Ï¥L°ê¡A¬Æ¦Ü­^°ê¡A³£¤£´±¬£®ü­x»P¤§¥¿­±¹ï§Ü¡C1940-1941¦~¶¡ªº­^°ê¡A¤w¸g¨S¦³¯à¤O©è¾×¥ô¦ó¤J«I¡A¥u¦nµê±iÁn¶Õ¡C¦ý¬O¦¹¤@¦æ°Ê«o¦ü¥GÀ~ªý¤F¼w°ê¡Aµ²ªG¨Ï­^°ê±o¨ì®É¶¡©M¾÷·|¥[±j¹ê»Ú¤Wªº¨¾½Ã¯à¤O¡C

¤j³¡¥÷±¡ªp¤U¡A¦³¦h¤ÖÅv¤O´NÀ³¸Óºû«ù¦h¤j«Â±æ¡C¸Ø¤j«Â±æ¡A³Ì²×·|³Q¤H¬Ý¬ï¡A¬Æ¦Ü¤Þ¨Ó¦U°êªººÃ¼{©M¹L«×¤ÏÀ³¡Cºû«ù¤£¤F«Â±æ¡A´N·|¥X²{¤H¤H¸¨¤«¤U¥Û¡B¥´¸¨¤ôª¯ªºÀI¹Ò¡CĬÁp¦b¥V©u¾Ôª§¤¤ªº¥¢±Ñ»P®t¦Hªí²{¡A¨Ï¼w°ê»{©w³o¬O¤J«IĬÁpªºµ´¨Î®É¾÷¡C¬Ã¯]´ä¨Æ¥ó¤£³æ¬O¬ü°ê¦bÅv¤O¤Wªº¥¢±Ñ¡A«Â±æ¶^¨ì¨¦©³§ó¤Þ¨Ó¼w°ê©M·N¤j§Qªº«Å¾Ô¡C


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck



«Â±æ®Ú¥»来说¬O实¤O+¦æ动¡A¦Ó¦æ动¤S¥]¬A软©Mµw两¤â¡]´N¬O­J萝¤R¥[¤j´Î¡^¡C

¬ü°êª½¨ì¤µ¤Ñ¤´µM¦b¬ü¬wºû«ùµÛ¿W¤j¦a¦ì¾aªº¥i¤£仅仅¬O·ü¾F¬Fµ¦¡A¬ü国®ü军陆战队ªº¤z¯A¡A¤¤±¡§½ªº颠ÂЬ¡动¡A¤D¦Ü¬ü国¤j举¥X§L¡A这¨Ç让©Ô¬ü国®a©ú¥Õ¡A¬ü国¦b这个¦a区¨ã备无¥i¬D战ªº权¤O¡A¥i¥H说¤~¬O®Ú¥»©Êªº¡C

§A¥i¥H让¤H©È¤]¥i¥H让¤H爱¡A¦ý¬O¦b权¤O¨¤«×¡A让¤H©È¤ñ让¤H爱§ó­«­n¡C



¤H®a¥i¨S¦³»¡¶È¶È¾a·ü¾F¬Fµ¦,½Ð°Ñ¦Ò²Ä4³¹.

¦b³o¥»®Ñ¸Ì,¥L¤£Â_´£¨ìÅv¤Oªº¦h­±©Ê.¥i¥H·Q¹³,¥L¨Ã¤£·|»¡¶È¶È¾a¬Y¤@¶µ¬Fµ¦©Î¬Y¤@ºØÅv¤O,´N¯à°÷¹F¨ì¥Øªº.µM«á,±q²Ä5³¹¥i¥H¬Ý¨ì,¨ä¹ê¥L»{¬°,¦³»Ý­n¥æ¤¬¡B°t¦X¦a¹B¥Î¤£¦PÃþ«¬ªº¤â¬q.


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/10/2013 : 20:30:06
quote:


¦³¬q时间没来¡A§A写读¦Z·P还¬O¯uªº认¯u读这¥»书¤F¡A§Ú觉±o¡A¤¤国ªº权¤O¤£¯à单单¥Î广¤g众¥Á¥H¤Î¤å¤Æ¼v响¤O来§P断¡A广¤g众¥Á©M¤å¤Æ¼v响¤O¦b1840-1949这100¦~¤§间¤@样¦s¦b¡A当¤K国联军¦b¥_¨Ê阅§Lªº时­Ô¡A¦³¤H认为¤¤国¬O个强国吗¡H

说¥Õ¤F¡A§A¦³广¤g众¥Á·N¨ý着§A¦³¥i¯à±U°_©ÎªÌÎ`兴¡A¦ý¬O这个¥i¯à©Ê­n变¦¨现实¡A«e´£¬O§A¯à§â§Aªº广¤g众¥Á组织°_来¡C¦P样¬O¤L亿¤H¡A1890¦~满²M¨º乌¦X¤§众ªº¦ÊÉE¤j军©M1950¦~组织°_来ªº500ÉEPLA¤Ï¬M¦b国®a权¤O¤W当µM¤£¬O¤@个级别¡C

¦P样¬O广¤g众¥Á¡A钢产¶q¤£过¤L¤QÉEʤ©M钢产¶q¤L亿ʤ¦ÛµM国®a权¤O¤£¦P¡C

§Ú­Ì¨S¦³¬J©wªº¤èªk,¥h¿Å¶q¤@°êªºÅv¤O¬O¤°»ò,©M¦³¦h¤jÅv¤O¡C这¬O错误ªº¬Ýªk¡A¦pªG说§¹¥þ没¦³条¥ó¿Å¶q¨º´N¬O¤£¥iª¾论¤F¡C¥u¯à说¡A¥Ñ¤_«H®§¶q¤£¨¬¡A§Ú们¥Ã远³£¤£¥i¯à彻©³­ãÚ̪º§P断¤@个国®aªº国¤O¡C¦ý¬O这¤£¥Nªí§Ú们¤£¯à¬Û对©úÚ̪º§P断¤@个国®aªº国¤O¡C

¤ñ¦p说¡A¤G战¤¤1941¦~¥e领¦è欧ªº¼w国©M苏联国¤O军¤O¡]还¦³¤@个组织©M发挥¦h¤Öªº问题¡^¨ì©³对¤ñ¦p¦ó¡H§Æ¯S°Çªº§P断¡A´µ¤jªLªº§P断¡A¦è¤è¬ü­^ªº§P断³£¤£¦P¡A­þ©È¥´¤F¥@¬É¤j战¡A¼w国战败¡A¨ì¤µ¤Ñ¡A对当时ªº强®z§P断对¤ñ还¬O¤j¦³争议¡A说¥Õ¤F这¬O«H®§¶qªº¤£¨¬¡A¤£¬O没ªkÚÌ©w标­ãªº问题¡C



³oªº½T«ÜÅý¤HºÃ´b.......

²{¦b¬Ý¨ì²Ä7³¹,²Ä8-10³¹´N¬O°ê®aÅv¤O¤F,¨ì®É­Ô¦A¬Ý¥L«ç»ò»¡.

¦Ü©ó"¨S¦³¬J©wªº¤èªk¥h¿Å¶q"ªºÁ¿ªk,§Ú»{¬°¬O,¤£¦Pªºª¬ªp¤U,»Ý­nªºÅv¤O¤£¤@¼Ë.¦ý­±¹ï¬Y¤@ºØª¬ªp,¨ì©³¸Ó»Ý­n­þ¨ÇÅv¤O,´N²o¯A¨ì·í¨Æ¤H·Q¨ì¥Î¤°»ò¿ìªk¨Ó¸Ñ¨M°ÝÃD.·Q¨ìªº¿ìªk¤£¦P,©Ò»Ý­nªºÅv¤O´N¤£¦P.

¬Ý¨ì²{¦b,¥u¦³«Ò°ê¥D¸q¨º¤@³¹¦³¤ñ¸û©ú½T¦a»¡Åv¤O¬O¤°»ò.

¥L´£¨ì­x¨Æ¡B¸gÀÙ©M¤å¤ÆºØ«Ò°ê¥D¸q,´«¥y¸Ü»¡,µL½×§A­n¹ê¬I«Ò°ê¥D¸q,ÁÙ¬Oºû«ù²{ª¬,§A©Ò»Ý­nªºÅv¤O,³£Â÷¤£¶}³o¤T¼Ë.

ÁÙ¦³,Ãö©ó¤¤°ê¤H¤f²³¦h,¨ã¦³¹L¥h¤å©ú¼vÅT¤Oªº»¡ªk,®Ñ¸Ì¨S¦³ªº,¦Ó¬O¦b¥L¤Ï¹ï¶V¾Ôªº¤å³¹¸Ì:

https://www.mtholyoke.edu/acad/intrel/vietnam/hans%27.htm


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
xk2008 Posted - 04/10/2013 : 13:10:30
quote:
Originally posted by SOCOM


²Ä6³¹ ª§¹ÜÅv¤O¡G«Â±æ¬Fµ¦ (2)

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1946¦~¡A¬ü°ê¦b®ü¤W¤½¶}´ú¸Õ­ì¤l¼uªº®É­Ô¡A¤£¦ý¦A¦¸Åý¤H­Ì¬Ý¨ì¬ü°ê¦b­ì¤l¼u¤WªºÃbÂ_¦a¦ì¡A«e©¹°ÑÆ[ªºÁp¦X°ê¥Nªí§ó»¡¡A¥Î¨Ó´ú¸ÕªºÄ¥¸¥¡A¬Æ¦Ü¤ñ«Ü¦h°ê®aªº®ü­xÄ¥¸¥ÁÙ­n¦h¡C

®ü­x¥»¨­¤]¬O°ª¾÷°Ê©Êªº­xºØ¡A¬G¦¹¬£®ü­x¥X°ê¡B¨µ¯è¡A¥i¥HÅý¤H¦L¶H²`¨è¡C1891¦~ªk°ê®ü­x³X°Ý«Xù´µ³Ø²w¬I¶ð±o´ä(Kronstadt)¡A±µµÛ«Xù´µ¤S¦b1893¦~³X°Ýªk°ê¤g­Û´ä(Toulon)¡C³o¶µÁ|°Ê¡A¦V¦U°ê¬F©²¹w§i¡Aªk°ê©M«Xù´µªºÁp·ùÃö«Y¡C¼w°ê©Mªk°ê´N¼¯¬¥­ôªºTangierµo¥Í»â¤gª§Ä³®É¡A¬Ó«Ò«Â·G¤G¥@¦b1905¦~­¼§¤­xÄ¥¨ì·í¦a³X°Ý¡C¬ü°ê¦b©Ô¤B¬ü¬w©M»·ªF¡A¦Ê¦h¦~¨Ó¬£¥X®ü­x¨µÅÞ¡A¤£Â_´£¿ô·í¦a¤H­Ì¡A¬ü°êªº¤O¶q¡C§N¾Ô®É­Ô¡A¥_¬ù²Õ´¸g±`Á|¦æ¦h°êÁp¦X­x¨Æºt²ß¡A¦®¦b¦VĬÁp®i¥Ü¨¾½Ãªº¯à¤O¡Aµo´§À~ªýªº®ÄªG¡C

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«Â±æ¬Fµ¦ªº²Ä¤GÃþ¥Ø¼Ð´N¬O¬°¤F¤ä´©ºû«ù²{ª¬©Î«Ò°ê¥D¸q¬Fµ¦¡A³o¬O³Ì¥D­n©M³Ì±`¨£ªº¤@ºØ¡C

¬°¤F¤ä´©ºû«ù²{ª¬¬Fµ¦¡A¬ü°ê¤£Â_´£¿ô©Ô¤B¬ü¬w¤H¡A¨ä¨ã¦³¿W¤jªºÅv¤O¡C¾Ô¶¡´Áªº©M¥­¦b©ó¡Aªk°ê®i¥Ü¤F¨ä¼Ú¬w³Ì±jªº­x¤O¡C¼w°ê±N¤G¦¸¤j¾Ôªì´Á°{¹q¾Ôªº¬ö¿ý¤ù»s§@¦¨«Å¶Ç¤ù¡A¨Ã¥B¦V¥~¬É®i¥Ü¡A¤ä«ù¤F¨ä«Ò°ê¥D¸q¬Fµ¦¡C

§N¾Ô®É­Ô¡A¬üĬ¬ÒµÛ­«¨Ï¥Î«Â±æ¥H§@¬°¥D­nªº¬FªvªZ¾¹¡C®i¥Ü­x¤O¡B§Þ³N¦¨´N¡B¸gÀÙ¼ç¤O¡B¬Fªv­õ¾Çµ¥¡A¥HÀ~ªý¹ï¤è©M¥´À»¹ï¤è¤h®ð¡BÂ÷¶¡¹ï¤è°}Àç¡A¥H¤Î§l¤Þ©|¥¼¥[¤J¥ô¦ó¤@¤èªº°ê®a¡C

³æ¾a«Â±æ¡A¨Ã¤£¯àµo´§§@¥Î¡A¦ý¥¦¨ÏÅv¤Oªº®ÄªG¥R¤Àµo´§¡C¦b³Ì¦¨¥\ªº®É­Ô¡A¥i¥H¥u¹B¥Î«Â±æ¡A¦ÓµL»Ý¨C¦¸³£ª½±µ¬I®iÅv¤O¡C­n°µ¨ì³o¤@ÂI¡A¥²¶·­n¦³¤@ºØ¡u¦WÁn¡v(reputation)¨¬¥HÅý§O¤H¬Û«H¡A³o­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¤w¸g¤j¨ìµL¥i¬D¾Ô¡A¦P®É¤S­n¦³¥t¤@ºØ¦WÁn¨¬¥HÅý§O¤H¬Û«H¡A³o­Ó°ê®a¹ï©ó¹B¥ÎÅv¤O¬O¬Û·í¦Û¨î(self-restraint)¡C

ù°¨«Ò°ê¨ã¦³¿W¤jªº¬Fªv©M­x¨ÆÅv¤O¡C¤H­Ì°²¦p¤Ï§Ü¡A¤Ï§Ü¹B°Ê±N·|³Q¤Àµõ¡B©t¥ß©M³v­ÓÀ»¯}¡C¦P®É¡Aù°¨ªk(Roman Law)Åý¤H­Ì¬Û«H¡A«Ò°ê¨Ã¤£·|ÀÝ¥ÎÅv¤O¡A¦a¤è¤]¤£·|³QµL¬GÂíÀ£¡C

­^°ê¤]¯à°÷°µ¨ì³oºØµL¥i¬D¾ÔªºÅv¤O»P¦³©ú½T­ì«hªº¦Û¨î¡A¨Ï¨ä«Ò°êºû«ù¤F¬Û·íªøªº®É¶¡¡Cª½¨ì¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô¡A¤H­Ì©ú½T¨£ÃѨì­^°ê¤w¸gµL¤Oºû«ù´Þ¥Á«Ò°ê¡A¦L«×»P´Þ¥Á¦aªº¿W¥ß¹B°Ê«K¦b¾Ô«á¥|°_¡C

¬ü°êªº·ü¾F¬Fµ¦(Good Neighbor Policy)¦P¼Ëµo´§¤F¬Û¦P¥\®Ä¡Aª½¨ì¤µ¤Ñ¤´µM¦b¬ü¬wºû«ùµÛ¿W¤j¦a¦ì¡C

«Â±æ´N¦n¹³»È¦æªº«H¥Î¡C¹ê¤O¶¯«pªº°ê®a¡A§Y¨Ïµo¥Í¹L¤p³W¼Òªº¥¢±Ñ¡A¤]¤£·|·l¤Î«Â±æ¡Cªk°ê¦b¤¤«n¥b®q©Mªüº¸¤Î§Q¨È´Þ¥Á¦aªº¾Ôª§¤¤­±Á{¥¢±Ñ¡A¦ý¥¦¹ï¥¢±Ñªºµ½«á(liquidate)¤u§@¡A«oűo¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô¥H¨Óªº«Â±æ°ª®p¡C¬ü°ê¦b1962¦~ªº½ÞÆW¤J«I¤¤¥¢±Ñ¡A¦ý¬OµL·l¥¦¬ü¬wÅQÅv¦a¦ì¡C¤@­Ó¬F©²¡Aµ´¤£À³¬°¤F«Â±æªº¤@®É°_¥ñ¦ÓÅå·W¥¢±¹¡C

¥²­n®É¡A¤]¥i¥H§Q¥Îµê±iÁn¶Õ(bluff)ªº¤èªk¨Ó¹B¥Î«Â±æ¡C¤èªk´N¦n¹³¡A©ú©ú¨S¦³¨º»ò¦hºt­û¡A¦ý´N¦w±Æ¥L­Ì¤@¦¸¤S¤@¦¸¦a¨«¤W©M¨«¤U»R¥x¡C1935¦~ªº¨Ì¯Á¤ñ¨È¾Ôª§»P1942¦~ªº¥_«D¾Ô§Ð´Á¶¡¡A·N¤j§Q´N¹B¥Î³oºØ¤èªk¸Ø¤j¹ê¤O¡A­P¨Ï¥L°ê¡A¬Æ¦Ü­^°ê¡A³£¤£´±¬£®ü­x»P¤§¥¿­±¹ï§Ü¡C1940-1941¦~¶¡ªº­^°ê¡A¤w¸g¨S¦³¯à¤O©è¾×¥ô¦ó¤J«I¡A¥u¦nµê±iÁn¶Õ¡C¦ý¬O¦¹¤@¦æ°Ê«o¦ü¥GÀ~ªý¤F¼w°ê¡Aµ²ªG¨Ï­^°ê±o¨ì®É¶¡©M¾÷·|¥[±j¹ê»Ú¤Wªº¨¾½Ã¯à¤O¡C

¤j³¡¥÷±¡ªp¤U¡A¦³¦h¤ÖÅv¤O´NÀ³¸Óºû«ù¦h¤j«Â±æ¡C¸Ø¤j«Â±æ¡A³Ì²×·|³Q¤H¬Ý¬ï¡A¬Æ¦Ü¤Þ¨Ó¦U°êªººÃ¼{©M¹L«×¤ÏÀ³¡Cºû«ù¤£¤F«Â±æ¡A´N·|¥X²{¤H¤H¸¨¤«¤U¥Û¡B¥´¸¨¤ôª¯ªºÀI¹Ò¡CĬÁp¦b¥V©u¾Ôª§¤¤ªº¥¢±Ñ»P®t¦Hªí²{¡A¨Ï¼w°ê»{©w³o¬O¤J«IĬÁpªºµ´¨Î®É¾÷¡C¬Ã¯]´ä¨Æ¥ó¤£³æ¬O¬ü°ê¦bÅv¤O¤Wªº¥¢±Ñ¡A«Â±æ¶^¨ì¨¦©³§ó¤Þ¨Ó¼w°ê©M·N¤j§Qªº«Å¾Ô¡C


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck



«Â±æ®Ú¥»来说¬O实¤O+¦æ动¡A¦Ó¦æ动¤S¥]¬A软©Mµw两¤â¡]´N¬O­J萝¤R¥[¤j´Î¡^¡C

¬ü°êª½¨ì¤µ¤Ñ¤´µM¦b¬ü¬wºû«ùµÛ¿W¤j¦a¦ì¾aªº¥i¤£仅仅¬O·ü¾F¬Fµ¦¡A¬ü国®ü军陆战队ªº¤z¯A¡A¤¤±¡§½ªº颠ÂЬ¡动¡A¤D¦Ü¬ü国¤j举¥X§L¡A这¨Ç让©Ô¬ü国®a©ú¥Õ¡A¬ü国¦b这个¦a区¨ã备无¥i¬D战ªº权¤O¡A¥i¥H说¤~¬O®Ú¥»©Êªº¡C

§A¥i¥H让¤H©È¤]¥i¥H让¤H爱¡A¦ý¬O¦b权¤O¨¤«×¡A让¤H©È¤ñ让¤H爱§ó­«­n¡C
xk2008 Posted - 04/10/2013 : 13:06:21
quote:
Originally posted by SOCOM

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¨ì³o¸Ì,¤w¬Ý¨ì¥L«ç»ò"¹B¥Î"¥j¨å²{¹ê¥D¸q¨Ó´M§ä¤¤°êªºÅv¤Oªº¥»½è¤F.

«ö·Ó³o¬£ªº°²©w,ªÀ·|¤WªºÅv¤O´N¹³¥«³õ¤Wªº³f¹ô,¦³¤FÅv¤O´N­n¤°»ò³£¥i¥H,¥¿¦p¥«³õ¤W¦³¿ú´N¤°»ò³£¥i¥H¶R¤@¼Ë.©Ò¥H,§A¦³¤FÅv¤O´N·|¥h¹B¥Î,«ç¼Ë¹B¥Î¯à°÷±o¨ì§ó¤jÅv¤O,§A´N·|«ç»ò¹B¥Î."lust for power".¦³¤°»ò¥´¤°»ò,¦³¤°»ò´N·|¥Î¤°»ò.

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¨º»ò,¤¤°ê,©Î¬ü°ê,©Î«Xù´µ,©Î¬ì«Â¯S.......¥¦­Ì¤â¤W¦³¤°»ò? ±N¦p¦ó¹B¥Î¥Hµo´§±±¨î§O°êªº®ÄªG? ¤@¶µ¯S½è,¨Ò¦p·¥¤j¶qªº¤H¤f,­n¦p¦ó¬Ý«Ý¥¦¬O­t¾áÁÙ¬OÀu¶Õ? »P§O°ê¦b¶T©ö¤W¤¬¬Û­Ê¿à,¨ì©³¬O½Ö­Ê¿à½Ö¤ñ¸û¦h? ­±¹ï¹L¥÷ªº­Ê¿à,¹ï¤è¯à§_¥H¶T©ö¥H¥~ªº¨ä¥L±¹¬I§@¬°¤Ï¨î,§Y©Ò¿×ªºissue linkage?

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¦Ü©ó¤@­Ó¾ÇªÌ¯à°÷°µªº,©Î³\¤]¥u¦³¦b³o¥xÃe¤jªº¬ã¨s¾÷¾¹¤U·í¤@­Ó¤p¾¦½ü,¥Ó­z¤£¦PªºÆ[ÂI,¤£¦Pªº¥i¯à©Ê,¤£¦Pªº¤è®×.......


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck



¦³¬q时间没来¡A§A写读¦Z·P还¬O¯uªº认¯u读这¥»书¤F¡A§Ú觉±o¡A¤¤国ªº权¤O¤£¯à单单¥Î广¤g众¥Á¥H¤Î¤å¤Æ¼v响¤O来§P断¡A广¤g众¥Á©M¤å¤Æ¼v响¤O¦b1840-1949这100¦~¤§间¤@样¦s¦b¡A当¤K国联军¦b¥_¨Ê阅§Lªº时­Ô¡A¦³¤H认为¤¤国¬O个强国吗¡H

说¥Õ¤F¡A§A¦³广¤g众¥Á·N¨ý着§A¦³¥i¯à±U°_©ÎªÌÎ`兴¡A¦ý¬O这个¥i¯à©Ê­n变¦¨现实¡A«e´£¬O§A¯à§â§Aªº广¤g众¥Á组织°_来¡C¦P样¬O¤L亿¤H¡A1890¦~满²M¨º乌¦X¤§众ªº¦ÊÉE¤j军©M1950¦~组织°_来ªº500ÉEPLA¤Ï¬M¦b国®a权¤O¤W当µM¤£¬O¤@个级别¡C

¦P样¬O广¤g众¥Á¡A钢产¶q¤£过¤L¤QÉEʤ©M钢产¶q¤L亿ʤ¦ÛµM国®a权¤O¤£¦P¡C

§Ú­Ì¨S¦³¬J©wªº¤èªk,¥h¿Å¶q¤@°êªºÅv¤O¬O¤°»ò,©M¦³¦h¤jÅv¤O¡C这¬O错误ªº¬Ýªk¡A¦pªG说§¹¥þ没¦³条¥ó¿Å¶q¨º´N¬O¤£¥iª¾论¤F¡C¥u¯à说¡A¥Ñ¤_«H®§¶q¤£¨¬¡A§Ú们¥Ã远³£¤£¥i¯à彻©³­ãÚ̪º§P断¤@个国®aªº国¤O¡C¦ý¬O这¤£¥Nªí§Ú们¤£¯à¬Û对©úÚ̪º§P断¤@个国®aªº国¤O¡C

¤ñ¦p说¡A¤G战¤¤1941¦~¥e领¦è欧ªº¼w国©M苏联国¤O军¤O¡]还¦³¤@个组织©M发挥¦h¤Öªº问题¡^¨ì©³对¤ñ¦p¦ó¡H§Æ¯S°Çªº§P断¡A´µ¤jªLªº§P断¡A¦è¤è¬ü­^ªº§P断³£¤£¦P¡A­þ©È¥´¤F¥@¬É¤j战¡A¼w国战败¡A¨ì¤µ¤Ñ¡A对当时ªº强®z§P断对¤ñ还¬O¤j¦³争议¡A说¥Õ¤F这¬O«H®§¶qªº¤£¨¬¡A¤£¬O没ªkÚÌ©w标­ãªº问题¡C
SOCOM Posted - 04/09/2013 : 23:30:31

²Ä7³¹ °ê»Ú¬Fµ¦¤¤ªº·NÃѧκA¤¸¯À (1)

¬Fªv¬¡°Êªº¥i¥H¦³«Ü¦h¤£¦P¥Ø¼Ð¡A¦ý¬O³Ì§Y®Éªº¥Ø¼Ð¤@©w¬O¬°¤FÅv¤O¡C«Ü¦h®É¡A¬°¤FÅýª§¹ÜÅv¤Oªº¦æ°Ê¦X²z¤Æ¡A³£»Ý­n¥Hªk«ß¤Wªº¡B¹D¼w¤W¬Æ¦Ü¥Íª«¾Ç¤Wªº²z¥Ñ¡A¤]´N¬O·NÃѧκA(ideology)¡Aµ¹¤©±»¹¢¡C»Ý­n±N¦æ°Ê¦X²z¤Æªº²z¥Ñ¦b©ó¡A¥i¥H¶°¦X°ê¤º¥~¤H¥Áªº¤ä«ù¡A»P´î¤Ö¦UºØ¤Ï¹ïÁn­µ¡C²Ä¤@¦¸¥@¬É¤j¾Ô´Á¶¡¡A¨ó¬ù°ê´N¦³®Ä¹B¥Î¤F¬ü°ê«Âº¸»¹Á`²Îµoªíªº¤Q¥|ÂI­ì«h¡A­«·s³ê°_­x¥Áªº¤h®ð¡A»P¥´À»¦P·ù°êªº°«§Ó¡C

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¹ï©ó«n¤è°ê®aªº³h½a¡A´Þ¥Á¥D¸q¡B«Ò°ê¥D¸q¡B¸ê¥»¥D¸qµ¥¥~¨Ó­é«d¡A¥R¨ä¶q¥u¬O¨ä¤¤¤@¤è­±ªº­ì¦]¡C¯u¥¿ªº­ì¦]¦b©ó¥»¨­ªº¦ÛµM¸ê·½¯Ê¥F¡B¤£²z©Êªº¸gÀÙ¬Fµ¦¡B³g¦Ã»G±Ñ¡BµL¯àµ¥µ¥¡C©Ò¥H³o¨Ã«Dµo°Ê­²©R¥i¥H¸Ñ¨M¡A¦Ó»Ý­n¥HªÀ·|ªº§ï­²¨Ó³v¨B§ïµ½¡A§ó¤£¬O¤Þ¤J¥ô¦ó§Þ³N©Êªº±¹¬I´N¦æ¡C

¨ä¹ê¡A²Ä¤T¥@¬Éªº­WÃø¡A¤@ª½³£¦s¦b¡C¦ý¬O¡AÀHµÛ³q°T§Þ³Nªº´¶¤Î¡A»P¦a¤èªº¥æ¬yÀWÁc¡A¤~ºtÅܦ¨¤µ¤Ñ¸g±`Å¥¨ìªº«n¥_¹ï§Üªº»¡ªk¡CÁ`¤§¡A³oºØ»P¹D¼w±¾¹_ªº«n¥_¹ï§Ü»¡ªk¡A¥u¬O¦³¤ß¤H¥Î¨Óª§¹ÜÅv¤O¡B±À½²{¦³Åv¤O¤À§Gªº­É¤f¡C

¥t¤@¤è­±¡A·¥ºÝªº³h½a¡A¤S±a¨Ó¥t¤@ºØ¥D±i¡A´N¬O¥ý¶i¤å©ú°ê®a¦³¸q°ÈÀ°§U²Ä¤T¥@¬É¡CÀ°§Uªº·N«ä¡A¨Ã¤£¬O¨ó§U¥¦­Ì¥þ³¡²æ³h¡A¦Ó¬O¦b­«¤j¤Ñ¨a©Î¨ä¥L¤H¹D¨aÃøµo¥Í®Éµ¹¤©´©§U¡C³oºØ¥~³¡¤z¹w¬O¦³­­¨îªº¡A¸q°È¤£·|¶W¹L¯à¤Oªº½d³ò¡C

(SOCOM¡G³o¸Ìªº»¡ªk¡A¦ü¥G»P¥ý«e´£¨ìªº¸gÀÙ«Ò°ê¥D¸q¦³©Ò¥Ù¬Þ¡C¸gÀÙ«Ò°ê¥D¸q¬O¹B¥Î­é«d¡A­P¨Ï¹ï¤èªº¸gÀÙ­Ê¿à§Ú¤è¡A¥H¹F¨ì±±¨î¹ï¤èªº¥Ø¼Ð¡C¦ý¬O³o¸Ì»{¬°¡A¸gÀÙ­é«dªº¼vÅT¨ä¹ê«Ü¦³­­¡C

§Úªº²z¸Ñ¬O¡A¸gÀÙ«Ò°ê¥D¸q¨Ã¤£¬O¨S¦³®Ä¥Î¡A¦Ó¬O®ÄªG¦³­­¡C·í¹ï¤èªº¸gÀÙ¹ï§Ú¤èµo¥Í­Ê¿à¡A§Ú¤èªº½T¬O¦h¤F¤@¶µ½Í§PÄw½X¡C°ÝÃD¬O¡A³o­ÓÄw½X¤£·|«Ü­«¡A¥u¯à¦b¬Y¨ÇijÃD¡A©ÎªÌ¦b¸û²Lªºµ{«×¥H¤U¡Aµo´§®Ä¥Î¡C)

¥¼§¹¡K¡K


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/07/2013 : 02:19:23
¤W¤å§â prestige ½Ķ°µ«Â±æ , ©Î³\¤£¤Ó¹ï......

¤¤¤å¸Ì­±,«Â±æ¦ü¥G¥u¾A¥Î©ó¤W¹ï¤UªºÃö«Y,¬Y¬YÅv«Â¤Hª«ªº«Â±æ,¬Y¬Y»â³Sªº«Â±æ.¦ý¤W­±ªº¤å³¹¬Ý¨ì,prestige ¥i¥H¾A¥Î©ó¹ïµ¥Ãö«Y,¬Æ¦Ü®z¹ï±jªºÃö«Y.¦p¦¹,¥ÎÁn±æ¦ü¥G§ó¦n.

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prestige´N¬O»¡¨ì°µ¨ì,µªÀ³§AªºªF¦è¤@©w°µ¨ì,§A«I®`¥LªºÅv¯q,¥L¤@©w¥H¤úÁÙ¤ú,¥L©w¤U³W«h§A¤£¿í¦u,¥L¤@©wÄY®æ³B»@.

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~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/07/2013 : 00:11:03

²Ä6³¹ ª§¹ÜÅv¤O¡G«Â±æ¬Fµ¦ (2)

­x¶¤¬O°ê¤Oªº©úÅã¶H¼x¡A©Ò¥H®i¥Ü­x¤O¤]¬O±`¥Îªº«Â±æ¬Fµ¦¡A§@¥Î¬OÅý¹ï¤è¹ï¥»°êªº­x¤O¡A¯d¤U²`¨è¦L¶H¡C¬£§L³X°Ý¥~°ê¡B°Ñ»PÁp¦X­x¨Æºt²ßµ¥¡A³£¬O±`¥Î¤â¬q¡C

1946¦~¡A¬ü°ê¦b®ü¤W¤½¶}´ú¸Õ­ì¤l¼uªº®É­Ô¡A¤£¦ý¦A¦¸Åý¤H­Ì¬Ý¨ì¬ü°ê¦b­ì¤l¼u¤WªºÃbÂ_¦a¦ì¡A«e©¹°ÑÆ[ªºÁp¦X°ê¥Nªí§ó»¡¡A¥Î¨Ó´ú¸ÕªºÄ¥¸¥¡A¬Æ¦Ü¤ñ«Ü¦h°ê®aªº®ü­xÄ¥¸¥ÁÙ­n¦h¡C

®ü­x¥»¨­¤]¬O°ª¾÷°Ê©Êªº­xºØ¡A¬G¦¹¬£®ü­x¥X°ê¡B¨µ¯è¡A¥i¥HÅý¤H¦L¶H²`¨è¡C1891¦~ªk°ê®ü­x³X°Ý«Xù´µ³Ø²w¬I¶ð±o´ä(Kronstadt)¡A±µµÛ«Xù´µ¤S¦b1893¦~³X°Ýªk°ê¤g­Û´ä(Toulon)¡C³o¶µÁ|°Ê¡A¦V¦U°ê¬F©²¹w§i¡Aªk°ê©M«Xù´µªºÁp·ùÃö«Y¡C¼w°ê©Mªk°ê´N¼¯¬¥­ôªºTangierµo¥Í»â¤gª§Ä³®É¡A¬Ó«Ò«Â·G¤G¥@¦b1905¦~­¼§¤­xÄ¥¨ì·í¦a³X°Ý¡C¬ü°ê¦b©Ô¤B¬ü¬w©M»·ªF¡A¦Ê¦h¦~¨Ó¬£¥X®ü­x¨µÅÞ¡A¤£Â_´£¿ô·í¦a¤H­Ì¡A¬ü°êªº¤O¶q¡C§N¾Ô®É­Ô¡A¥_¬ù²Õ´¸g±`Á|¦æ¦h°êÁp¦X­x¨Æºt²ß¡A¦®¦b¦VĬÁp®i¥Ü¨¾½Ãªº¯à¤O¡Aµo´§À~ªýªº®ÄªG¡C

¨Æ¹ê¤W¡A«Â±æ¬Fµ¦¥i¥H¦³¨âÃþ¥Ø¼Ð¡C²Ä¤@Ãþ´N¬O¬°¤F«Â±æ¥»¨­¡A³o¬O¤ñ¸û¤Ö¨£¡A¦ý¤]¸û¬°·MÄø©M¦MÀI¡C¤@­Ó°ê®a¡A¹L¥÷¦a¦V¥~¬É®i¥Ü¹ê¤O¡A±N·|¹L«×¦a®ø¯Ó¹ê»Ú¤W¨Ã¥¼¬ÛÀ³¨ã¦³ªºÅv¤O¡C«Â·G¤G¥@¡B¾¥¯Á¨½¥§»P1965-1975¦~¶¡ªº¬ü°ê¬F©²¡A³£¥Ç¤F¬Û¦Pªº¿ù»~¡C

«Â±æ¬Fµ¦ªº²Ä¤GÃþ¥Ø¼Ð´N¬O¬°¤F¤ä´©ºû«ù²{ª¬©Î«Ò°ê¥D¸q¬Fµ¦¡A³o¬O³Ì¥D­n©M³Ì±`¨£ªº¤@ºØ¡C

¬°¤F¤ä´©ºû«ù²{ª¬¬Fµ¦¡A¬ü°ê¤£Â_´£¿ô©Ô¤B¬ü¬w¤H¡A¨ä¨ã¦³¿W¤jªºÅv¤O¡C¾Ô¶¡´Áªº©M¥­¦b©ó¡Aªk°ê®i¥Ü¤F¨ä¼Ú¬w³Ì±jªº­x¤O¡C¼w°ê±N¤G¦¸¤j¾Ôªì´Á°{¹q¾Ôªº¬ö¿ý¤ù»s§@¦¨«Å¶Ç¤ù¡A¨Ã¥B¦V¥~¬É®i¥Ü¡A¤ä«ù¤F¨ä«Ò°ê¥D¸q¬Fµ¦¡C

§N¾Ô®É­Ô¡A¬üĬ¬ÒµÛ­«¨Ï¥Î«Â±æ¥H§@¬°¥D­nªº¬FªvªZ¾¹¡C®i¥Ü­x¤O¡B§Þ³N¦¨´N¡B¸gÀÙ¼ç¤O¡B¬Fªv­õ¾Çµ¥¡A¥HÀ~ªý¹ï¤è©M¥´À»¹ï¤è¤h®ð¡BÂ÷¶¡¹ï¤è°}Àç¡A¥H¤Î§l¤Þ©|¥¼¥[¤J¥ô¦ó¤@¤èªº°ê®a¡C

³æ¾a«Â±æ¡A¨Ã¤£¯àµo´§§@¥Î¡A¦ý¥¦¨ÏÅv¤Oªº®ÄªG¥R¤Àµo´§¡C¦b³Ì¦¨¥\ªº®É­Ô¡A¥i¥H¥u¹B¥Î«Â±æ¡A¦ÓµL»Ý¨C¦¸³£ª½±µ¬I®iÅv¤O¡C­n°µ¨ì³o¤@ÂI¡A¥²¶·­n¦³¤@ºØ¡u¦WÁn¡v(reputation)¨¬¥HÅý§O¤H¬Û«H¡A³o­Ó°ê®aªºÅv¤O¤w¸g¤j¨ìµL¥i¬D¾Ô¡A¦P®É¤S­n¦³¥t¤@ºØ¦WÁn¨¬¥HÅý§O¤H¬Û«H¡A³o­Ó°ê®a¹ï©ó¹B¥ÎÅv¤O¬O¬Û·í¦Û¨î(self-restraint)¡C

ù°¨«Ò°ê¨ã¦³¿W¤jªº¬Fªv©M­x¨ÆÅv¤O¡C¤H­Ì°²¦p¤Ï§Ü¡A¤Ï§Ü¹B°Ê±N·|³Q¤Àµõ¡B©t¥ß©M³v­ÓÀ»¯}¡C¦P®É¡Aù°¨ªk(Roman Law)Åý¤H­Ì¬Û«H¡A«Ò°ê¨Ã¤£·|ÀÝ¥ÎÅv¤O¡A¦a¤è¤]¤£·|³QµL¬GÂíÀ£¡C

­^°ê¤]¯à°÷°µ¨ì³oºØµL¥i¬D¾ÔªºÅv¤O»P¦³©ú½T­ì«hªº¦Û¨î¡A¨Ï¨ä«Ò°êºû«ù¤F¬Û·íªøªº®É¶¡¡Cª½¨ì¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô¡A¤H­Ì©ú½T¨£ÃѨì­^°ê¤w¸gµL¤Oºû«ù´Þ¥Á«Ò°ê¡A¦L«×»P´Þ¥Á¦aªº¿W¥ß¹B°Ê«K¦b¾Ô«á¥|°_¡C

¬ü°êªº·ü¾F¬Fµ¦(Good Neighbor Policy)¦P¼Ëµo´§¤F¬Û¦P¥\®Ä¡Aª½¨ì¤µ¤Ñ¤´µM¦b¬ü¬wºû«ùµÛ¿W¤j¦a¦ì¡C

«Â±æ´N¦n¹³»È¦æªº«H¥Î¡C¹ê¤O¶¯«pªº°ê®a¡A§Y¨Ïµo¥Í¹L¤p³W¼Òªº¥¢±Ñ¡A¤]¤£·|·l¤Î«Â±æ¡Cªk°ê¦b¤¤«n¥b®q©Mªüº¸¤Î§Q¨È´Þ¥Á¦aªº¾Ôª§¤¤­±Á{¥¢±Ñ¡A¦ý¥¦¹ï¥¢±Ñªºµ½«á(liquidate)¤u§@¡A«oűo¤G¦¸¤j¾Ô¥H¨Óªº«Â±æ°ª®p¡C¬ü°ê¦b1962¦~ªº½ÞÆW¤J«I¤¤¥¢±Ñ¡A¦ý¬OµL·l¥¦¬ü¬wÅQÅv¦a¦ì¡C¤@­Ó¬F©²¡Aµ´¤£À³¬°¤F«Â±æªº¤@®É°_¥ñ¦ÓÅå·W¥¢±¹¡C

¥²­n®É¡A¤]¥i¥H§Q¥Îµê±iÁn¶Õ(bluff)ªº¤èªk¨Ó¹B¥Î«Â±æ¡C¤èªk´N¦n¹³¡A©ú©ú¨S¦³¨º»ò¦hºt­û¡A¦ý´N¦w±Æ¥L­Ì¤@¦¸¤S¤@¦¸¦a¨«¤W©M¨«¤U»R¥x¡C1935¦~ªº¨Ì¯Á¤ñ¨È¾Ôª§»P1942¦~ªº¥_«D¾Ô§Ð´Á¶¡¡A·N¤j§Q´N¹B¥Î³oºØ¤èªk¸Ø¤j¹ê¤O¡A­P¨Ï¥L°ê¡A¬Æ¦Ü­^°ê¡A³£¤£´±¬£®ü­x»P¤§¥¿­±¹ï§Ü¡C1940-1941¦~¶¡ªº­^°ê¡A¤w¸g¨S¦³¯à¤O©è¾×¥ô¦ó¤J«I¡A¥u¦nµê±iÁn¶Õ¡C¦ý¬O¦¹¤@¦æ°Ê«o¦ü¥GÀ~ªý¤F¼w°ê¡Aµ²ªG¨Ï­^°ê±o¨ì®É¶¡©M¾÷·|¥[±j¹ê»Ú¤Wªº¨¾½Ã¯à¤O¡C

¤j³¡¥÷±¡ªp¤U¡A¦³¦h¤ÖÅv¤O´NÀ³¸Óºû«ù¦h¤j«Â±æ¡C¸Ø¤j«Â±æ¡A³Ì²×·|³Q¤H¬Ý¬ï¡A¬Æ¦Ü¤Þ¨Ó¦U°êªººÃ¼{©M¹L«×¤ÏÀ³¡Cºû«ù¤£¤F«Â±æ¡A´N·|¥X²{¤H¤H¸¨¤«¤U¥Û¡B¥´¸¨¤ôª¯ªºÀI¹Ò¡CĬÁp¦b¥V©u¾Ôª§¤¤ªº¥¢±Ñ»P®t¦Hªí²{¡A¨Ï¼w°ê»{©w³o¬O¤J«IĬÁpªºµ´¨Î®É¾÷¡C¬Ã¯]´ä¨Æ¥ó¤£³æ¬O¬ü°ê¦bÅv¤O¤Wªº¥¢±Ñ¡A«Â±æ¶^¨ì¨¦©³§ó¤Þ¨Ó¼w°ê©M·N¤j§Qªº«Å¾Ô¡C


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
SOCOM Posted - 04/06/2013 : 23:52:07
quote:
Originally posted by andrewtysh

http://www.amazon.ca/Tragedy-International-Relations-Toni-Erskine/dp/0230237525 ³o¥»¤]«D±`¦n¬Ý



«¢....¦ü¥G¤£¿ù,ÁÂÁ±ÀÂË!!!




~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck
andrewtysh Posted - 04/04/2013 : 22:49:49
http://www.amazon.ca/Tragedy-International-Relations-Toni-Erskine/dp/0230237525 ³o¥»¤]«D±`¦n¬Ý
SOCOM Posted - 04/03/2013 : 23:10:49
ÁÙ¨S¦³¬Ý¨ì"°ê®aÅv¤O"ªº¤@³¹,¦ý«ö·Ó¥Ø«e©Ò¨£,­n¦b¹ê»Ú¤W¹B¥Î¥j¨å²{¹ê¥D¸qªº²z½×,¬O»Ý­n¤j¶qªº¾ÇªÌ¦@¦P°Ñ»P,¨Ã¥B­n°Q½×¥X¤@¨Ç¦@ÃѤ~¦æ.

§Ú»¡ªº"¹ê»Ú¤W¹B¥Î"¬O«ü,±aµÛ³o®M²z½×,¥h¬ã¨s­Ó§O°ê®a,¥h§ä¥X¥¦ªºÅv¤Oªº¨Ó·½,µM«á·Q¥X,¹ï¤è¥i¯à·|¦p¦ó¹B¥Î¥¦.

¨Ò¦p,Morgenthau ´¿¸g¦b¤Ï¹ï¥X§L¶V«nªº¤å³¹¤¤,¤ÀªR¨ì¤¤°êªºpower base.

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¦]¬°,¤¤°êªºÅv¤O,®Ú·½©ó¨ä·¥¤j¶qªº¤H¤f¡B¼s¤jªº¤g¦a¡B½ÆÂø¦Ó¼vÅT¼sªxªº¤å¤Æ»P¤å©ú¶Ç²Î¡B»P¤H­Ì¬Û«H¤¤°ê©l²×·|¦A¦¸¿³°_.

60¦~¥Nªº¤¤°ê¦b¸gÀÙ©M­x¤O¤W¬Ò¨S¦³Àu¶Õ,¦ýªF«n¨È¤w¸g¬O¨ä¶Õ¤O½d³ò.

§Y¨Ï¥Î®ÖªZ¤j¶q¦a®ø·À¥¦ªº¤H¤f©M®ÖªZ°ò¦a,³o­Ó±aµÛ¤[»·¾ú¥vªº°ê®a¤´µM¦s¦b .

°ß¤@¦³®Äªº¿ìªk,´N¬O¬£¥X¼Æ¦Ê¸U¤j­x¦û»â¥þ­±¤¤°ê,ª½±µÅý¨äÅv¤Oªº®Ú·½¤£¦A¦s¦b.§_«h,´N¥u¯à§â¥¦ªº¤å¤Æ¼vÅT¤Oµø¬°¬J¦¨¨Æ¹ê.(¥L¨S¦³´£¨ì¤Àµõªº°ÝÃD)

¨ì³o¸Ì,¤w¬Ý¨ì¥L«ç»ò"¹B¥Î"¥j¨å²{¹ê¥D¸q¨Ó´M§ä¤¤°êªºÅv¤Oªº¥»½è¤F.

«ö·Ó³o¬£ªº°²©w,ªÀ·|¤WªºÅv¤O´N¹³¥«³õ¤Wªº³f¹ô,¦³¤FÅv¤O´N­n¤°»ò³£¥i¥H,¥¿¦p¥«³õ¤W¦³¿ú´N¤°»ò³£¥i¥H¶R¤@¼Ë.©Ò¥H,§A¦³¤FÅv¤O´N·|¥h¹B¥Î,«ç¼Ë¹B¥Î¯à°÷±o¨ì§ó¤jÅv¤O,§A´N·|«ç»ò¹B¥Î."lust for power".¦³¤°»ò¥´¤°»ò,¦³¤°»ò´N·|¥Î¤°»ò.

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§Ú·Q,¦]¬°¥DÃD¹ê¦b¤Ó¤j¤F,¤H­Ì¥i¥H°µªº,¥u¯àÅý§ó¦h¤H±q§ó¦h¤£¦PÆ[ÂI¥h·Q.¤@¶µ¬Fµ¦¶}®i¤§«e,¨S¦³¤Hª¾¹D¹ï¿ù.¨Mµ¦·í§½¿ï¾Ü±Ä¦æ­þ¤@®M¬Fµ¦,¥»¨­¤]±a¦³½ä³Õ¦¨¥÷.

¦Ü©ó¤@­Ó¾ÇªÌ¯à°÷°µªº,©Î³\¤]¥u¦³¦b³o¥xÃe¤jªº¬ã¨s¾÷¾¹¤U·í¤@­Ó¤p¾¦½ü,¥Ó­z¤£¦PªºÆ[ÂI,¤£¦Pªº¥i¯à©Ê,¤£¦Pªº¤è®×.......


~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

man cannot control the current of events. he can only float with them and steer;

The statesman's task is to hear God's footsteps marching through history, and to try and catch on to His coattails as He marches past;

Politics is the art of the possible, the attainable ¡X the art of the next best

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ Otto von Bismarck

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